DailyTickers

IBKR — Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

NASDAQ · Financial Services · August 28, 2026
$96.99 +0.10% Rejected at current levels Capital Markets Score 78 B+
$43.94B
Market Cap
5.2M
Volume
N/A
Fwd P/E
1.343
Beta
N/A
52W Range
2.1%
Short Interest
$106.13
Analyst Target
N/A
EV/EBITDA
IBKR Chart
Click to enlarge

Verdict Express

B+ Neutral Moderate confidence

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. operates as an automated electronic broker in the United States and internationally. Rejected at current levels. Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.

Why Buy

  • Revenue growth: 26.3%; earnings growth: 35.3%
  • Balance-sheet totals require sector-specific interpretation; see the SEC review.
  • Defined confirmation: Break $97.34, then hold the retest

Why Avoid

  • Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
  • First-target reward/risk at confirmation: 1.39R
  • Public shareholders own only 26.5% of IBG LLC and IBKR remits 85% of exchange-related tax savings to Holdings.

Business Overview

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. operates as an automated electronic broker in the United States and internationally. The company engages in the execution, clearance, and settlement of trades in stocks, options, futures, foreign exchange instruments, bonds, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies; and the company provides custody, prime brokerage, securities, and margin lending services. It also offers custody and service accounts for hedge and mutual funds, ETFs, registered investment advisors, proprietary trading groups, introducing brokers, and individual investors. In addition, the company provides trading platforms, including IBKR Trader Workstation, IBKR Desktop, IBKR Mobile, and IBKR Client Portal platform, as well as IBKR GlobalTrader mobile application, and IBKR APIs, builds custom trading applications and automates any part of the trading process. Further, it offers IBKR Pro, IBKR Lite, IBKR Universal Account, insured bank deposit sweep program, investors' marketplace, mutual fund marketplace, bond marketplace, forecast and event contracts, fractional trading, no transaction fee program for exchange-traded funds, overnight trading hours, and karta visa infinite charge card. It serves institutional and individual customers through electronic exchanges and market centers. Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Recent News

2026-08-28
Bull of the Day: Interactive Brokers (IBKR) neutral
Context only; no trade conclusion is drawn from this headline.
Zacks
2026-08-27
Interactive Brokers gets neutral rating as account growth faces valuation test positive
Potentially supportive for expectations; verify the magnitude in the primary release before acting.
Investing.com
2026-08-26
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights negative
Potential downside risk; the headline alone does not quantify the impact.
Zacks
2026-08-26
Schwab vs. Interactive Brokers: Which Brokerage Stock is a Better Buy? neutral
Context only; no trade conclusion is drawn from this headline.
Zacks

Fundamentals

MetricValueSignal
Revenue (TTM)$6.83B26.3% YoY
EBITDAN/ANot meaningful / unavailable
Gross Margin93.0%Reported
Operating Margin76.5%Profitable
Net Margin16.5%Positive
ROE24.0%Capital efficiency
Cash$130.86BSector balance sheet; do not net mechanically
Debt$45.78BSector balance sheet; do not net mechanically
Forward P/EN/ANo estimate substituted
Intrinsic-value modelN/AFail-closed: insufficient inputs
Value / quality panel3 positive / 2 negative / 0 neutralneutral / confidence 62
Analyst Mean Target$106.13Consensus, not a guarantee

Earnings History

QuarterEPS ActualEPS Est.SurpriseRevenue
3Q2025$0.57$0.546.1%-
4Q2025$0.65$0.5911.0%-
1Q2026$0.60$0.600.1%-
2Q2026$0.69$0.648.0%-

4/4 captured quarters beat estimates — Next: 2026-10-20T20:00:00Z

Insiders & Institutions

2.7%
Insider Own.
88.6%
Institution Own.

Recent Transactions

DateInsiderTypeSharesValue
2026-07-01Conkling Lori Abuy25$2,201
2026-06-01Conkling Lori Abuy25$2,153
2026-05-01Conkling Lori Abuy25$1,991
2026-04-28Harris Lawrence Esell26,000$2.0M
2026-04-01Conkling Lori Abuy25$1,710
2026-02-25Conkling Lori Abuy75$5,391
2026-01-26Nemser Earl Hsell155,000$11.8M
2026-01-22Nemser Earl Hsell245,000$19.0M

bearish aggregate feed — 6 buys and 8 sales

Capital Structure & Dilution

453.1M
Shares Out.
See filing review
Authorized
moderate
Dilution Risk

The July exchange issued 2.50M shares, about 0.55%, without cash proceeds while acquiring matching IBG LLC interests. It is not classic economic dilution, but it expands float and can create selling pressure.

SEC Filings Review

Official filings were reviewed through 2026-08-28; the table lists the decision-relevant documents rather than every routine filing. The B+ grade describes the full dossier; the trade state (rejected) is a separate timing decision.

DateFormAccessionWhat the filing changes
2026-08-0610-Q0001381197-26-000147Reports 5.185M accounts, $930.3B customer equity, 4.824M DARTs, $673M commissions and $1.06B net interest income.
2026-07-31424B50001381197-26-000133Documents the recurring UP-C exchange.
2026-07-31424B50001381197-26-000138Registers shares used in customer-acquisition and loyalty promotions.

Contrarian checks

Short Interest

2.1%
SI % Float
1.80
Days to Cover
N/A
CTB

Current snapshot only; no acceleration claim without a comparable historical series.

Options / Derivatives

3,472
Call OI
7,487
Put OI
0.46
C/P Ratio
$92.00
Max Pain
N/A
IV Mean

Unusual Activity: No unusual activity confirmed

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)59.1
EMA 20$92.74
EMA 50$90.88
EMA 200$80.54
MACD1.369
Signal0.589
ATR (14)$3.21
WyckoffTransitional
RSI 59.1 REJECTED Rejected at current levels
Supports: $62.16 / $60.00 / $64.19
Resistances: $97.80

Technical Setup

Rejected at current levels. Required confirmation: Break $97.34, then hold the retest. Available moving averages are shown with their provider type.

Performance & Benchmarks

50.1%
YTD
56.3%
1Y
N/A — insufficient point-in-time history
3Y
Not calculated without aligned benchmark bars.
Alpha

Macro Context

IndicatorValueSignal
Market regimeRisk-on 0.79Trend support, not a timing trigger
VIX14.51Low current protection price

Regime: risk-on

The broad regime supports long setups, but rates and ticker-specific confirmation override the label.

Risk Analysis

Risk Profile: High

Dilution: moderate; beta: 1.34; insider signal: bearish.

Trade Structure

High
  • First-target reward/risk at confirmation: 1.39R
  • Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
Probability
Impact
Break $97.34, then hold the retest

Capital and Dilution

Medium
  • The July exchange issued 2.50M shares, about 0.55%, without cash proceeds while acquiring matching IBG LLC interests. It is not classic economic dilution, but it expands float and can create selling pressure.
  • Public shareholders own only 26.5% of IBG LLC and IBKR remits 85% of exchange-related tax savings to Holdings.
  • Rate sensitivity, customer leverage and recurring exchanges matter more than an invalid cash-versus-debt comparison for a broker.
Probability
Impact
SEC review: moderate dilution risk. Filings and accessions are listed below.

Positioning

Medium
  • 6 insider buys vs 8 sells
  • Short interest: 2.1%
Probability
Impact
Positioning is context, not a standalone trigger.

Risk Synthesis

A precise stop does not make a setup valid. Entry location, normal volatility, event risk and reachable resistance decide whether the risk is paid.

Social Radar

Stocktwits
30
neutral
4617 watchers; not used as a trigger.
Aggregate sentiment
2
positive
Confidence 10.9%.

Pump & Dump Score: 0/6

Clean
No recent halt flag
Short interest below 20%
SEC-reviewed dilution risk is moderate

Capital Flow

N/A
Net Flow
N/A
Institutional
N/A
Retail
55.9%
Dark Pool %

No directional flow claim is made when detailed, aligned flow data is unavailable.

Trade Idea

REJECTED — Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
Entry Zone
$96.98
Original zone $96.65-$97.32. Break $97.34, then hold the retest. At the conservative $97.34 confirmation price, TP1 pays 1.39R.
Stop Loss
$94.12
-3.29% risk
Target 1
$101.81
4.61% upside
Target 2
$104.07
Stretch target; use the stated TP2 reward/risk below.
Risk/Reward
Confirmation TP1 1:1.39; original plan 1:1.40 / TP2 1:2.11
10 trading sessions

Thesis

Rejected at current levels. Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.

Catalysts

  • Crowded-positioning pressure is flagged, but it is not an entry trigger.
  • Insider activity bearish (6 buys / 8 sells, 90d)
  • Zacks — Interactive Brokers Group IBKR is an automated global electronic brokerage firm providing trade execution, clearing, and custody services to individual and institutional investors. EPS revisions remai...

Invalidation

  • Below $94.12; conventional financial business
  • Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
  • Any earnings, clinical, regulatory or financing event before entry requires a fresh review.

Global Score

B+ Financial Services Neutral

Key Takeaways — Positive

  • Defined trigger: Break $97.34, then hold the retest
  • Dilution assessment after filing review: moderate
  • Revenue growth: 26.3%

Key Takeaways — Risks

  • Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
  • First-target R/R at confirmation: 1.39R
  • Public shareholders own only 26.5% of IBG LLC and IBKR remits 85% of exchange-related tax savings to Holdings.
  • Rate sensitivity, customer leverage and recurring exchanges matter more than an invalid cash-versus-debt comparison for a broker.

Mindset Tip

Wait for confirmation and preserve the invalidation.

Disclaimer

This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data comes from point-in-time market snapshots, company filings, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR, and public market data. Accuracy is not guaranteed.

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