DailyTickers

VG — Venture Global, Inc.

NYSE · Energy · August 28, 2026
$14.51 +0.28% Rejected; stop sits inside normal noise Oil & Gas Midstream Score 44 C-
$36.3B economic (A+B)
Market Cap
11.9M
Volume
N/A
Fwd P/E
0
Beta
N/A
52W Range
N/A — float basis disputed
Short Interest
$16.47
Analyst Target
10.7x
EV/EBITDA
VG Chart
Click to enlarge

Verdict Express

C- Neutral Moderate confidence

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. Rejected; stop sits inside normal noise. Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.

Why Buy

  • Revenue growth: 47.6%; earnings growth: 264.3%
  • Cash $3.12B versus debt $42.39B
  • Defined confirmation: Break above $14.73

Why Avoid

  • Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
  • First-target reward/risk at confirmation: 1.12R
  • BP seeks $3.7B to more than $6B after an adverse partial ruling; other customer claims exceed $2.4B.

Business Overview

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.

Recent News

2026-08-27
Venture Global (VG), What Is Drawing Fresh Attention To The Stock? neutral
Context only; no trade conclusion is drawn from this headline.
Simply Wall St.
2026-08-26
Could Venture Global (VG)’s Raised Guidance Signal a Multi-Year LNG Growth Story? positive
Potentially supportive for expectations; verify the magnitude in the primary release before acting.
Insider Monkey
2026-08-20
Venture Global Insider Sold Shares Worth $3,875,098, According to a Recent SEC Filing neutral
Context only; no trade conclusion is drawn from this headline.
MT Newswires
2026-08-19
Venture Global Insider Sold Shares Worth $3,113,686, According to a Recent SEC Filing neutral
Context only; no trade conclusion is drawn from this headline.
MT Newswires
2026-08-19
Venture Global (VG): Record Earnings and Raised Outlook Signal Strong Growth positive
Potentially supportive for expectations; verify the magnitude in the primary release before acting.
Insider Monkey
2026-08-19
Venture Global Positioned to Capture Incremental Demand for LNG, RBC Says neutral
Context only; no trade conclusion is drawn from this headline.
MT Newswires

Fundamentals

MetricValueSignal
Revenue (TTM)$16.95B47.6% YoY
EBITDA$7.35B10.7x EV/EBITDA
Gross Margin46.9%Reported
Operating Margin47.8%Profitable
Net Margin22.1%Positive
ROE33.6%Capital efficiency
Cash$3.12BLiquidity
Debt$42.39BBalance-sheet claim
Forward P/EN/ANo estimate substituted
Intrinsic-value modelN/AFail-closed: insufficient inputs
Value / quality panel4 positive / 1 negative / 0 neutralbullish / confidence 65
Analyst Mean Target$16.47Consensus, not a guarantee

Earnings History

QuarterEPS ActualEPS Est.SurpriseRevenue
2Q2025$0.14$0.19-27.1%-
3Q2025$0.15$0.23-33.8%-
1Q2026$0.19$0.1263.5%-
2Q2026$0.51$0.494.5%-

2/4 captured quarters beat estimates — Next: 2026-11-09T12:30:00Z

Insiders & Institutions

2.7%
Insider Own.
103.0%
Institution Own.

Recent Transactions

DateInsiderTypeSharesValue
2026-06-17Thayer Jonathan Wsell222,222$2.4M
2026-06-15Larson Keith Dsell1.1M$12.9M
2026-06-12Sabel Michaelbuy1,226$15,987
2026-05-26Musser Forysell500,000$6.4M
2026-05-27Earl Thomassell1.0M$12.4M
2026-05-19Cothran Briansell626,066$9.2M
2026-05-18Thayer Jonathan Wsell222,222$3.2M
2026-05-14Larson Keith Dsell1.1M$15.1M

bearish aggregate feed — 2 buys and 25 sales

Capital Structure & Dilution

531.5M Class A only
Shares Out.
See filing review
Authorized
moderate
Dilution Risk

The economic share count includes about 531.5M Class A and 1.969B Class B shares. At $14.51 that implies roughly $36.3B of equity value, not the Class-A-only $7.7B figure.

SEC Filings Review

Official filings were reviewed through 2026-08-28; the table lists the decision-relevant documents rather than every routine filing. The C- grade describes the full dossier; the trade state (rejected) is a separate timing decision.

DateFormAccessionWhat the filing changes
2026-08-1110-Q0002007855-26-000062Reports $42.39B gross debt, $3.12B cash and CP2 capital spending.
2025-01-24424B40001193125-25-012218Documents the IPO, dual-class economics and 97.8% voting control.
2024-12-20S-10001193125-24-282957Discloses historical customer concentration.

Contrarian checks

Short Interest

N/A — float basis requires reconciliation
SI % Float
N/A
Days to Cover
N/A
CTB

The Class A float denominator must be reconciled before publishing short-interest percentages.

Options / Derivatives

7,697
Call OI
8,365
Put OI
0.92
C/P Ratio
$14.50
Max Pain
N/A
IV Mean

Unusual Activity: No unusual activity confirmed

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)57.3
EMA 20$13.86
EMA 50$13.33
EMA 200$12.38
MACD0.350
Signal0.317
ATR (14)$0.71
WyckoffTransitional
RSI 57.3 REJECTED Rejected; stop sits inside normal noise
Supports: $11.90 / $8.58 / $7.46
Resistances: $15.37 / $18.18 / $16.08

Technical Setup

Rejected; stop sits inside normal noise. Required confirmation: Break above $14.73. Available moving averages are shown with their provider type.

Performance & Benchmarks

112.3%
YTD
11.4%
1Y
N/A — insufficient point-in-time history
3Y
Not calculated without aligned benchmark bars.
Alpha

Macro Context

IndicatorValueSignal
Market regimeRisk-on 0.79Trend support, not a timing trigger
VIX14.51Low current protection price

Regime: risk-on

The broad regime supports long setups, but rates and ticker-specific confirmation override the label.

Risk Analysis

Risk Profile: High

Dilution: moderate; beta: 0.00; insider signal: bearish.

Trade Structure

High
  • First-target reward/risk at confirmation: 1.12R
  • Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
Probability
Impact
Break above $14.73

Capital and Dilution

Medium
  • The economic share count includes about 531.5M Class A and 1.969B Class B shares. At $14.51 that implies roughly $36.3B of equity value, not the Class-A-only $7.7B figure.
  • BP seeks $3.7B to more than $6B after an adverse partial ruling; other customer claims exceed $2.4B.
  • CP2 is highly levered and capital intensive; dual-class control and historic customer concentration leave public holders with limited influence.
Probability
Impact
SEC review: moderate dilution risk. Filings and accessions are listed below.

Positioning

Medium
  • 2 insider buys vs 25 sells
  • Short interest: N/A — float basis requires reconciliation
Probability
Impact
Positioning is context, not a standalone trigger.

Risk Synthesis

A precise stop does not make a setup valid. Entry location, normal volatility, event risk and reachable resistance decide whether the risk is paid.

Social Radar

Stocktwits
30
neutral
4635 watchers; not used as a trigger.
Aggregate sentiment
2
positive
Confidence 17.0%.

Pump & Dump Score: 0/6

Clean
No recent halt flag
Short interest withheld pending float reconciliation
SEC-reviewed dilution risk is moderate

Capital Flow

N/A
Net Flow
N/A
Institutional
N/A
Retail
N/A
Dark Pool %

No directional flow claim is made when detailed, aligned flow data is unavailable.

Trade Idea

REJECTED — Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
Entry Zone
$14.54
Original zone $14.49-$14.60. Break above $14.73. At the conservative $14.73 confirmation price, TP1 pays 1.12R.
Stop Loss
$13.90
-4.79% risk
Target 1
$15.66
7.26% upside
Target 2
$16.17
Stretch target; use the stated TP2 reward/risk below.
Risk/Reward
Confirmation TP1 1:1.12; original plan 1:1.51 / TP2 1:2.24
10 trading sessions

Thesis

Rejected; stop sits inside normal noise. Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.

Catalysts

  • Insider activity bearish (2 buys / 25 sells, 90d)
  • Insider Monkey — Venture Global, Inc. (NYSE:VG) shares are drawing heightened attention following the release of its second-quarter 2026 financial results. The company delivered substantial growth across key operation...
  • Simply Wall St. — Venture Global (VG) is in focus after recent investor interest picked up, with the stock last closing at US$14.30. Short term performance has been positive, including gains over the past week and mont...

Invalidation

  • Below $13.90
  • Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
  • Any earnings, clinical, regulatory or financing event before entry requires a fresh review.

Global Score

C- Energy Neutral

Key Takeaways — Positive

  • Defined trigger: Break above $14.73
  • Dilution assessment after filing review: moderate
  • Revenue growth: 47.6%

Key Takeaways — Risks

  • Rejected at current levels. A new analysis is required before any entry.
  • First-target R/R at confirmation: 1.12R
  • BP seeks $3.7B to more than $6B after an adverse partial ruling; other customer claims exceed $2.4B.
  • CP2 is highly levered and capital intensive; dual-class control and historic customer concentration leave public holders with limited influence.

Mindset Tip

Wait for confirmation and preserve the invalidation.

Disclaimer

This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data comes from point-in-time market snapshots, company filings, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR, and public market data. Accuracy is not guaranteed.

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