{ "ticker": "DELL", "reference_close": "2026-09-25", "analysis_path": "data/analyses-data/DELL.json", "analysis_sha256": "80b1ce2ef77deaddbf52ae9bee87718933247948b2d0e7cf524d97395430a045", "claims": [ { "path": "meta.date", "value": "2026-09-25", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.date" }, { "path": "meta.dateDisplay", "value": "25 septembre 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.dateDisplay" }, { "path": "meta.version", "value": 3, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/meta/version" }, { "path": "meta.levelsCloseDate", "value": "2026-09-25", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.levelsCloseDate" }, { "path": "meta.description", "value": "Dell Technologies : 47 Md$ de revenus au trimestre, 95 Md$ de carnet de serveurs d’IA et un titre multiplié par cinq depuis janvier. Rebond de 5 % le 25 septembre après une note de Morgan Stanley et l’entrée de Gemini dans la gamme XPS. Dossier au close du 25 septembre 2026, statut surveiller.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.description" }, { "path": "meta.ogDescription", "value": "Dell : revenus +58 %, prévision annuelle relevée à 192 Md$, coûts des mémoires en forte hausse ; titre à 562,89 $, environ 5,5 % sous son sommet du 18 septembre ; niveaux à surveiller.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.ogDescription" }, { "path": "meta.lastMcpRefresh", "value": "2026-09-27T22:39:15.774457359Z", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.lastMcpRefresh" }, { "path": "meta.levelsVerifiedAt", "value": "2026-09-27T22:39:15.774457359Z", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.levelsVerifiedAt" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.0.at", "value": "2026-09-24T18:34:21.747781898Z", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.statusHistory.0.at" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.0.note", "value": "refonte v3 du 24 septembre : nouveau scénario, clôture de référence du 2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.statusHistory.0.note" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.0.close", "value": 549.83, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/meta/statusHistory/0/close" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.1.at", "value": "2026-09-27T22:39:15.774457359Z", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.statusHistory.1.at" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.1.note", "value": "refonte v3 du 25 septembre : clôture de référence du 2026-09-25, rebond de +5 % le 25, comparables élagués à dix-sept symboles propres", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.statusHistory.1.note" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.1.close", "value": 562.89, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/meta/statusHistory/1/close" }, { "path": "header.price", "value": 562.89, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/header/price" }, { "path": "header.changePct", "value": 5.012872654005451, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/header/changePct" }, { "path": "header.badges.0.text", "value": "SURVEILLER — ACTIVATION AU-DESSUS DU SOMMET DU 18 SEPTEMBRE", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.badges.0.text" }, { "path": "header.metrics.marketCap", "value": "358 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.marketCap" }, { "path": "header.metrics.volume", "value": "8,70 M", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.volume" }, { "path": "header.metrics.evEbitda", "value": "22,0×", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.evEbitda" }, { "path": "verdict.score", "value": 58, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/verdict/score" }, { "path": "verdict.confidence", "value": "Score éditorial non prédictif. Les chiffres d’entreprise viennent des dépôts SEC et des données XBRL officielles ; les niveaux, du close certifié du 25 septembre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.confidence" }, { "path": "verdict.summary", "value": "Dell a publié le 1er septembre, après la clôture, un trimestre de 47,0 Md$ de revenus (+58 %), dont 16,4 Md$ de serveurs d’IA, 60,9 Md$ de commandes d’IA et un carnet de 95 Md$, puis relevé sa prévision annuelle de 167 à 192 Md$. Le titre a gagné 15,8 % le lendemain et touché 595,51 $ le 18 septembre ; après un repli à 530,45 $ le 24, il rebondit de 5,0 % le 25 pour clôturer à 562,89 $, environ 5,5 % sous ce sommet et quelque 5,1 fois son plus bas du 21 janvier. Le rebond du 25 suit une note de Morgan Stanley, qui a relevé la probabilité de son scénario haussier tout en gardant son objectif de base sous le cours, et l’entrée de l’assistant Gemini dans la gamme d’ordinateurs XPS. Le 10-Q signale une forte inflation du coût des mémoires, et Micron, fournisseur de mémoires, publie le 30 septembre selon deux calendriers concordants : le risque de gap est dans l’horizon. À 22,0 fois l’EBITDA GAAP des douze derniers mois, Dell se paie plus que Super Micro (11,7×). Signal utile : une clôture au-dessus de 595,51 $. Le plafond d’achat n’est qu’à 3,73 $ au-dessus : l’entrée à l’ouverture est quasi inexécutable.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.summary" }, { "path": "verdict.whyBuy.0", "value": "Revenus du deuxième trimestre de 47,0 Md$ (+58 %) et résultat opérationnel GAAP de 5,39 Md$, trois fois celui d’un an plus tôt.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyBuy.0" }, { "path": "verdict.whyBuy.1", "value": "Carnet de serveurs d’IA de 95 Md$ fin juillet, après 60,9 Md$ de commandes dans le trimestre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyBuy.1" }, { "path": "verdict.whyBuy.2", "value": "Prévision annuelle relevée à 192 Md$ de revenus et 24,37 $ de bénéfice GAAP par action, soit 23,1 fois ce bénéfice au close du 25 septembre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyBuy.2" }, { "path": "verdict.whyBuy.3", "value": "20 millions d’actions rachetées au premier semestre pour 5,4 Md$, dividende trimestriel de 0,63 $.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyBuy.3" }, { "path": "verdict.whyAvoid.0", "value": "Le titre vaut environ 5,1 fois son plus bas de janvier : une partie du carnet est déjà dans le prix.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyAvoid.0" }, { "path": "verdict.whyAvoid.1", "value": "Le 10-Q signale une inflation « substantielle » du coût des mémoires : la marge des serveurs d’IA dépend de prix que Dell ne contrôle pas.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyAvoid.1" }, { "path": "verdict.whyAvoid.2", "value": "Les fonds Silver Lake ont vendu des actions tout au long de septembre, jusqu’à la semaine du 22, selon leurs formulaires 4.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyAvoid.2" }, { "path": "verdict.whyAvoid.3", "value": "Le flux de trésorerie opérationnel du trimestre recule de 13 %, à 2,2 Md$, les stocks ayant doublé en six mois.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyAvoid.3" }, { "path": "verdict.controlChecklist.0.evidence", "value": "Série quotidienne certifiée au close du 25 septembre, source de repli documentée.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.controlChecklist.0.evidence" }, { "path": "verdict.controlChecklist.1.statusLabel", "value": "Micron le 30 septembre", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.controlChecklist.1.statusLabel" }, { "path": "verdict.controlChecklist.1.evidence", "value": "Micron publie le 30 septembre après la clôture selon deux calendriers concordants, non confirmé ici par l’émetteur ; ses prix de mémoire touchent directement les coûts de Dell. Dell publie fin novembre selon le calendrier de marché.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.controlChecklist.1.evidence" }, { "path": "verdict.controlChecklist.2.statusLabel", "value": "Plafond à 0,12 ATR", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.controlChecklist.2.statusLabel" }, { "path": "verdict.controlChecklist.2.evidence", "value": "Le plafond d’achat n’est qu’à 3,73 $ au-dessus du déclencheur, pour une amplitude journalière moyenne de 31,59 $.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.controlChecklist.2.evidence" }, { "path": "business.overview", "value": "

Dell vend deux familles de produits. Les infrastructures, ou ISG, regroupent les serveurs optimisés pour l’IA, les serveurs classiques, le réseau et le stockage : 31,8 Md$ au deuxième trimestre de l’exercice 2027, en hausse de 89 %, dont 16,4 Md$ de serveurs d’IA. Les ordinateurs, ou CSG, ont réalisé 15,0 Md$ (+20 %), portés par le renouvellement du parc des entreprises.

Le trimestre clos le 31 juillet a été le plus fort de l’histoire de la société : 47,0 Md$ de revenus (+58 %), 5,39 Md$ de résultat opérationnel GAAP, 60,9 Md$ de commandes de serveurs d’IA et un carnet de 95 Md$. La prévision annuelle a été relevée de 25 Md$, à 192 Md$, dont 74 Md$ de serveurs d’IA.

Le revers est dans le bilan : les stocks ont doublé en six mois, à 21,3 Md$, et le 10-Q décrit une inflation « substantielle » du coût des mémoires, due aux limites de capacité des fabricants. Un client, non nommé, a représenté 12 % des revenus de l’exercice clos en janvier, presque entièrement en infrastructures ; le 10-K précise qu’aucun client n’atteignait 10 % les deux exercices précédents.

", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.overview" }, { "path": "business.segments.0.revenue", "value": "31,8 Md$ au deuxième trimestre", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.0.revenue" }, { "path": "business.segments.0.pct", "value": "68 % des revenus", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.0.pct" }, { "path": "business.segments.0.description", "value": "Serveurs d’IA 16,4 Md$, serveurs classiques et réseau 10,5 Md$, stockage 4,9 Md$.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.0.description" }, { "path": "business.segments.1.revenue", "value": "15,0 Md$ au deuxième trimestre", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.1.revenue" }, { "path": "business.segments.1.pct", "value": "32 % des revenus", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.1.pct" }, { "path": "business.segments.1.description", "value": "Postes d’entreprise 13,2 Md$, grand public 1,8 Md$.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.1.description" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 8-K / Exhibit 99.1", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000039/exhibit991earnings8kq2fy27.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.0.url" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-01", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.1.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 10-Q", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.1.name" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000046/dell-20260731.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-09-08", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.2.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 10-K", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.2.name" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.2.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000008/dell-20260130.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.2.url" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.2.date", "value": "2026-03-16", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.2.date" }, { "path": "business.coverageMatrix.1.decision", "value": "Communiqué du 1er septembre et 10-Q ; date du troisième trimestre non annoncée par l’émetteur.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.coverageMatrix.1.decision" }, { "path": "business.coverageMatrix.3.decision", "value": "Douze mois glissants au 31 juillet 2026, reconstitués depuis les données XBRL officielles.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.coverageMatrix.3.decision" }, { "path": "business.coverageMatrix.6.decision", "value": "Chaîne relevée en séance le 27 septembre, non rattachée à la clôture de référence.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.coverageMatrix.6.decision" }, { "path": "news.0.date", "value": "2026-09-02", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.0.date" }, { "path": "news.0.title", "value": "Hausse de 15,8 % au lendemain du communiqué", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.0.title" }, { "path": "news.0.detail", "value": "Le communiqué est publié le 1er septembre après la clôture, la conférence commençant à 15 h 30, heure de Chicago ; ce jour-là, le titre avait perdu 6,80 %. Le 2, il ouvre à 462,05 $, 8,72 % au-dessus de la clôture de la veille, 425,00 $, et clôture à 492,20 $ (+15,81 %). SMH fait +0,96 % et HPE +1,89 % la même séance : l’essentiel de la hausse est propre à Dell.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.0.detail" }, { "path": "news.1.date", "value": "2026-09-14", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.1.date" }, { "path": "news.1.title", "value": "Gap de −5,1 % à l’ouverture", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.1.title" }, { "path": "news.1.detail", "value": "Après une hausse de près de 12 % le 11 septembre, le titre ouvre à 538,57 $ (−5,06 %) et clôture à 534,28 $ (−5,82 %). SMH fait −4,75 % et Super Micro −8,38 % la même séance ; aucun dépôt ouvert ici ne donne la cause du repli.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.1.detail" }, { "path": "news.2.date", "value": "2026-09-15", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.2.date" }, { "path": "news.2.title", "value": "5,0 Md$ d’obligations en quatre tranches", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.2.title" }, { "path": "news.2.detail", "value": "Échéances 2029 à 2037, taux de 5,100 % à 5,900 % : de la dette, aucune action nouvelle ; elle s’ajoute aux 34,5 Md$ du bilan de juillet.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.2.detail" }, { "path": "news.2.sourceUrl", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000119312526391976/d172674d8k.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.2.sourceUrl" }, { "path": "news.3.date", "value": "2026-09-25", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.3.date" }, { "path": "news.3.title", "value": "Rebond de 5,0 % sur une note d’analyste et l’entrée de Gemini dans XPS", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.3.title" }, { "path": "news.3.detail", "value": "Après un repli à 530,45 $ le 24, le titre ouvre à 546,29 $ et clôture à 562,89 $ (+5,01 %). Deux éléments le même jour : Morgan Stanley a relevé la probabilité de son scénario haussier après un entretien avec la direction, tout en maintenant un objectif de base qui reste sous le cours — le marché price donc déjà mieux que le cas central de la banque (24/7 Wall St.) — et l’assistant Gemini entre dans la gamme d’ordinateurs XPS. SMH fait +1,01 % et HPE −0,91 % la même séance : le rebond est surtout propre à Dell. Le titre reste sous son sommet du 18 septembre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.3.detail" }, { "path": "news.3.source", "value": "Barres certifiées et 24/7 Wall St.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.3.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.0.metric", "value": "Revenus du deuxième trimestre de l’exercice 2027", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.0.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.0.value", "value": "47,0 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.0.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.0.signal", "value": "+58 % sur un an, communiqué du 1er septembre", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.0.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.1.value", "value": "95 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.1.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.1.signal", "value": "Après 60,9 Md$ de commandes dans le trimestre", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.1.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.2.metric", "value": "Prévision de revenus de l’exercice 2027", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.2.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.2.value", "value": "192 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.2.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.2.signal", "value": "Relevée de 167 Md$ ; troisième trimestre attendu à 49,0 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.2.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.3.value", "value": "151,2 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.3.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.3.signal", "value": "Douze mois glissants au 31 juillet 2026 (XBRL SEC)", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.3.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.4.value", "value": "14,25 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.4.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.4.signal", "value": "Marge de 9,4 %, douze mois glissants au 31 juillet 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.4.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.5.value", "value": "11,38 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.5.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.5.signal", "value": "Douze mois glissants au 31 juillet 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.5.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.6.value", "value": "12,15 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.6.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.6.signal", "value": "Douze mois glissants ; 2,2 Md$ au dernier trimestre, en recul de 13 %", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.6.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.7.metric", "value": "Dette au 31 juillet 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.7.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.7.value", "value": "34,47 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.7.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.7.signal", "value": "Dont 9,6 Md$ de financement DFS ; 5,0 Md$ d’obligations ajoutés le 15 septembre", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.7.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.8.metric", "value": "Liquidités au 31 juillet 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.8.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.8.value", "value": "11,57 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.8.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.9.value", "value": "22,0×", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.9.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.9.signal", "value": "Valeur d’entreprise au close du 2026-09-25, 635,8 millions d’actions, dette DFS comprise, sur EBITDA GAAP douze mois au 2026-07-31", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.9.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.9.comparison", "value": "Versus Super Micro à 11,7×, HP Inc. à 7,6× et Nvidia à 26,8× (statistiques courantes du 24 septembre, non point-in-time) : Dell se paie entre les assembleurs et son fournisseur de processeurs.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.9.comparison" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.value", "value": "21,5×", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.signal", "value": "Même calcul au close du 2026-09-25 sans les 9,6 Md$ de dette DFS ; en face, 20,43 Md$ de créances de financement nettes au 31 juillet (12,81 Md$ à court terme, 7,63 Md$ à long terme), non déduites dans le calcul principal", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.source", "value": "Clôture certifiée, XBRL SEC et 10-Q", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.comparison", "value": "Versus 22,0× dette DFS comprise : l’écart est d’un demi-point ; la dette DFS finance des créances qui la couvrent plus que deux fois.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.comparison" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.11.value", "value": "2,52×", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.11.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.11.signal", "value": "Valeur d’entreprise au close du 2026-09-25 sur revenus GAAP douze mois au 2026-07-31", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.11.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.11.comparison", "value": "Versus la marge opérationnelle GAAP de 9,4 % : un assembleur se juge sur l’EBITDA, les revenus y sont volumineux et peu margés.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.11.comparison" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.12.value", "value": "31,5×", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.12.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.12.signal", "value": "Capitalisation au 2026-09-25 sur résultat net GAAP douze mois au 2026-07-31", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.12.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.12.comparison", "value": "Versus le P/E sur la prévision annuelle (23,1×) : le marché paie surtout le résultat attendu de l’exercice, la hausse des mémoires devant être répercutée aux clients.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.12.comparison" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.13.metric", "value": "P/E sur la prévision GAAP de l’exercice 2027", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.13.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.13.value", "value": "23,1×", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.13.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.13.signal", "value": "Close du 2026-09-25 sur 24,37 $ de bénéfice GAAP par action guidé pour l’exercice clos fin janvier 2027", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.13.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.13.source", "value": "Clôture certifiée et communiqué du 1er septembre", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.13.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.14.value", "value": "344,76 $ par action", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.14.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.14.signal", "value": "Scénario : multiple ramené à quatorze fois l’EBITDA GAAP douze mois au 2026-07-31 par hypothèse, bilan du 31 juillet, soit −39 % sous le close du 2026-09-25", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.14.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.14.comparison", "value": "Versus Super Micro à 11,7× et IBM à 16,8× : quatorze fois se situe entre les deux ; ce que coûterait un retour vers les assembleurs, pas un objectif.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.14.comparison" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 10-Q", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000046/dell-20260731.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.0.url" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-08", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 8-K / Exhibit 99.1", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.name" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000039/exhibit991earnings8kq2fy27.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-09-01", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.2.date", "value": "2026-09-27", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.2.date" }, { "path": "earnings.beatNote", "value": "Deuxième trimestre de l’exercice 2027 : revenus de 47,0 Md$ (+58 %), résultat opérationnel GAAP de 5,39 Md$ (+204 %), bénéfice GAAP de 6,34 $ par action (+273 %), flux opérationnel de 2,2 Md$ (−13 %). La guidance de l’exercice est relevée de 167 à 192 Md$ de revenus, dont 74 Md$ de serveurs d’IA, et de 17,31 à 24,37 $ de bénéfice GAAP par action ; le troisième trimestre vise 49,0 Md$. La date du troisième trimestre, non annoncée par l’émetteur dans les dépôts ouverts, est placée à fin novembre par le calendrier de marché.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.beatNote" }, { "path": "earnings.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 8-K / Exhibit 99.1", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "earnings.sourceRefs.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000039/exhibit991earnings8kq2fy27.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.sourceRefs.0.url" }, { "path": "earnings.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-01", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sharesOutstanding", "value": "635 812 750 actions au 1er septembre 2026 : 315 433 188 actions C cotées, 276 744 341 actions A et 43 635 221 actions B (page de garde du 10-Q)", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sharesOutstanding" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.shareHistory", "value": "Base retenue : actions A, B et C en circulation, toutes classes comprises, car la valorisation porte sur la société entière. Au premier semestre, 20 millions d’actions C ont été rachetées pour 5,4 Md$ ; il restait environ 15,2 Md$ d’autorisation. Les 8-K d’item 3.02 décrivent des conversions d’actions B, détenues par les fonds Silver Lake, en actions C cotées, une pour une : pas d’actions nouvelles, mais davantage de titres négociables pour un actionnaire vendeur ; le 8-K du 17 juin en recense 3 438 364. La dette atteint 34,5 Md$ au 31 juillet, dont 9,6 Md$ de financement DFS, en majorité sans recours, et 5,0 Md$ d’obligations ont été ajoutés le 15 septembre. Les capitaux propres sont négatifs, à −1,43 Md$ : ils reflètent 20,0 Md$ d’actions rachetées et portées en actions propres, pas un manque de trésorerie, avec 11,6 Md$ de liquidités et 2,2 Md$ de flux opérationnel au dernier trimestre. Passage au nombre dilué : au deuxième trimestre, 652 millions d’actions diluées en moyenne contre 645 millions de base, les attributions salariales ajoutant environ 1 %. Aucun titre convertible ni programme d’émission sur le marché n’est relevé. Aucun dépôt de dilution (S-3, 424B, ATM, bons de souscription) n’apparaît entre le 16 et le 25 septembre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.shareHistory" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 10-Q", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000046/dell-20260731.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.url" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-08", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.name" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000119312526391976/d172674d8k.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-09-15", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.name" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000032/dell-20260611.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.url" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.date", "value": "2026-06-17", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.summary", "value": "Cinq dépôts décisionnels ouverts et hachés. Ils montrent une demande d’IA qui dépasse la prévision, un carnet de 95 Md$, mais aussi des stocks doublés, une inflation des coûts de mémoire et un actionnaire historique, Silver Lake, qui convertit et vend. La dette augmente, sans dilution.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.summary" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.date", "value": "2026-09-08", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.form", "value": "10-Q", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.accession", "value": "0001571996-26-000046", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.finding", "value": "Rapport trimestriel au 31 juillet 2026 : 635 812 750 actions A, B et C au 1er septembre ; 20 millions d’actions C rachetées au semestre pour 5,4 Md$ ; dette de 34,5 Md$ dont 9,6 Md$ de financement DFS ; capitaux propres négatifs de 1,43 Md$, après 20,0 Md$ d’actions propres rachetées. Forte inflation du coût des mémoires, liée aux limites de capacité des fabricants.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000046/dell-20260731.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.date", "value": "2026-09-01", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.form", "value": "8-K / Exhibit 99.1", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.accession", "value": "0001571996-26-000039", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.finding", "value": "Communiqué du deuxième trimestre de l’exercice 2027, publié après la clôture : revenus de 47,0 Md$ (+58 %), serveurs d’IA à 16,4 Md$, commandes d’IA de 60,9 Md$ et carnet de 95 Md$. Prévision annuelle relevée de 167 à 192 Md$ de revenus et à 24,37 $ de bénéfice GAAP par action.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000039/exhibit991earnings8kq2fy27.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.date", "value": "2026-03-16", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.form", "value": "10-K", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.accession", "value": "0001571996-26-000008", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.finding", "value": "Rapport annuel de l’exercice clos le 30 janvier 2026 : un client, non nommé, a représenté 12 % des revenus, presque entièrement en infrastructures ; aucun client à 10 % les deux exercices précédents.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000008/dell-20260130.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.date", "value": "2026-09-15", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.form", "value": "8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.accession", "value": "0001193125-26-391976", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.finding", "value": "Émission de 5,0 Md$ d’obligations en quatre tranches, 2029 à 2037, à des taux de 5,100 % à 5,900 % : de la dette, pas d’actions ; postérieure au bilan du 31 juillet.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000119312526391976/d172674d8k.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.date", "value": "2026-06-17", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.form", "value": "8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.accession", "value": "0001571996-26-000032", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.finding", "value": "Conversion de 3 438 364 actions B détenues par des fonds Silver Lake en autant d’actions C cotées, du 1er au 12 juin : pas d’actions nouvelles, mais davantage de titres négociables pour ces vendeurs potentiels.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000032/dell-20260611.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.contrarianRisks.0", "value": "Un carnet de serveurs d’IA peut être décalé ou renégocié : le client à 12 % des revenus n’est pas nommé.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.contrarianRisks.0" }, { "path": "technicals.rsi14", "value": 58.69, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/rsi14" }, { "path": "technicals.macd", "value": 25.64, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/macd" }, { "path": "technicals.macdSignal", "value": 27.34, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/macdSignal" }, { "path": "technicals.ema20", "value": 531.89, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/ema20" }, { "path": "technicals.ema50", "value": 484.8, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/ema50" }, { "path": "technicals.ema200", "value": 330.88, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/ema200" }, { "path": "technicals.atr14", "value": 31.59, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/atr14" }, { "path": "technicals.badges.1", "value": "5,5 % sous le sommet du 18 septembre", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/technicals.badges.1" }, { "path": "technicals.badges.2", "value": "ATR de 31,59 $", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/technicals.badges.2" }, { "path": "technicals.supports.0", "value": 547.71, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/supports/0" }, { "path": "technicals.supports.1", "value": 542.23, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/supports/1" }, { "path": "technicals.supports.2", "value": 530.45, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/supports/2" }, { "path": "technicals.resistances.0", "value": 573.8, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/resistances/0" }, { "path": "technicals.resistances.1", "value": 593.98, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/resistances/1" }, { "path": "technicals.resistances.2", "value": 595.51, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/resistances/2" }, { "path": "technicals.setupNote", "value": "Le titre clôture à 562,89 $, 5,8 % au-dessus de sa moyenne à vingt séances et 5,5 % sous le sommet du 18 septembre, 595,51 $. Le repli du 24 s’est arrêté à 530,45 $ avant le rebond du 25. Avant activation, aucune entrée ; une clôture sous 506,25 $, le bas du 10 septembre, abandonne le scénario. Activation sur une clôture au-dessus de $595.51. Après activation, stop sous $542.23, le plus bas du 23 septembre, soit 1,69 ATR sous le déclencheur. Supports : 547,71 $, 542,23 $ et 530,45 $. Résistances : 573,80 $, 593,98 $ et 595,51 $ ; au-dessus du sommet, les objectifs sont des projections de la hauteur du couloir.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/technicals.setupNote" }, { "path": "technicals.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-27", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/technicals.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "options.skew", "value": "Chaîne relevée en séance le 27 septembre, non rattachée à la clôture de référence", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/options.skew" }, { "path": "options.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-27", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/options.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "shortInterest.siPct", "value": "4,68 % du flottant", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/shortInterest.siPct" }, { "path": "shortInterest.daysToCover", "value": "1,50 jours, date de règlement non précisée par le snapshot", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/shortInterest.daysToCover" }, { "path": "shortInterest.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-27", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/shortInterest.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "insiders.signal", "value": "Ventes uniquement dans la fenêtre relevée, aucun achat. Les fonds Silver Lake, actionnaire historique, ont vendu des actions tout au long de septembre, et les formulaires 4 se sont poursuivis la semaine du 22 (dépôts des 22, 23, 24 et 25 septembre, un formulaire 144 le 23). Plusieurs dirigeants ont aussi vendu plus tôt dans le mois : Peter Trizzino, président des ventes, environ 37 700 actions le 11 septembre ; David Kennedy, directeur financier, environ 23 900 actions le 17. Couverture officielle partielle : aucun solde net affirmé.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.signal" }, { "path": "insiders.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Données de marché datées (provenance hashée) : formulaires 4", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "insiders.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-27", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "macro.indicators.0.value", "value": "2026-09-25", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/macro.indicators.0.value" }, { "path": "macro.indicators.0.signal", "value": "562,89 $, séance complète", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/macro.indicators.0.signal" }, { "path": "macro.indicators.1.value", "value": "−0,91 %", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/macro.indicators.1.value" }, { "path": "macro.indicators.2.value", "value": "+21,36 %", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/macro.indicators.2.value" }, { "path": "macro.impact", "value": "Dell vit de l’investissement des clouds et des entreprises dans l’IA, et du renouvellement des ordinateurs. Un ralentissement des dépenses d’équipement ou une hausse durable du prix des mémoires toucherait d’abord ses marges, dont le niveau GAAP reste d’environ 9 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/macro.impact" }, { "path": "risks.riskScore", "value": 6, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/risks/riskScore" }, { "path": "risks.riskSummary", "value": "Le risque de Dell n’est pas la demande, spectaculaire, mais ce que coûte de la servir : des mémoires plus chères, des stocks doublés et un flux de trésorerie du trimestre en recul. Le titre, multiplié par cinq depuis janvier, reste exposé à la publication de Micron le 30 septembre et aux ventes de Silver Lake. L’entrée proposée laisse très peu de marge au-dessus du déclencheur.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskSummary" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.0.points.0", "value": "Inflation « substantielle » citée par le 10-Q.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.0.points.0" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.0.points.1", "value": "Micron publie le 30 septembre, dans l’horizon du plan.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.0.points.1" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.1.points.0", "value": "Plus bas de 110,22 $ le 21 janvier.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.1.points.0" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.1.points.1", "value": "Gap de −5,1 % à l’ouverture le 14 septembre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.1.points.1" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.2.verdict", "value": "Chaque rebond peut rencontrer cette offre ; la suivre dans les formulaires 4.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.2.verdict" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.3.points.0", "value": "Plafond à 3,73 $ au-dessus du déclencheur, 0,12 ATR.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.3.points.0" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.3.points.1", "value": "Environ 20 % des ouvertures récentes auraient dépassé cet écart.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.3.points.1" }, { "path": "risks.pedagogy", "value": "Sur un titre dont l’amplitude journalière moyenne dépasse 31,59 $, un écart d’ouverture de quelques dollars est la norme : c’est le gap, et il rend un plafond serré presque impossible à respecter. Le slippage, l’écart entre prix voulu et prix obtenu dans une séance normale, reste faible sur plus de 5,1 Md$ échangés par séance. Dimensionner la position sur la distance au stop, 53,28 $ par action, et la réduire de moitié avant la clôture du 30 septembre, veille de la première séance qui intègre la publication de Micron.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.pedagogy" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.statusNote", "value": "Surveiller. Avant activation : aucune entrée ; une clôture sous 506,25 $ abandonne le scénario. Activation : clôture au-dessus de 595,51 $, puis achat à l’ouverture suivante seulement sous 599,24 $, ou par ordre limité à ce plafond pendant trois séances, annulé après une clôture sous 595,51 $ et jamais laissé actif sur une ouverture sous 542,23 $. Après activation : stop sous 542,23 $. Le rebond du 25 septembre reste sous le déclencheur : le plan n’est pas activé.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.statusNote" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.entry", "value": 595.51, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/tradeIdea/entry" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.stop", "value": 542.23, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/tradeIdea/stop" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.tp1", "value": 684.77, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/tradeIdea/tp1" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.tp2", "value": 729.4, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/tradeIdea/tp2" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.stopPct", "value": "-8.9%", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.stopPct" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.tp1Pct", "value": "+15.0%", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.tp1Pct" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.tp2Pct", "value": "+22.5%", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.tp2Pct" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.rr", "value": "1:1.68 TP1 / 1:2.51 TP2", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.rr" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.entryNote", "value": "Déclencheur sur clôture au-dessus du plus haut du 18 septembre, pas sur un franchissement en séance. Entrée à l’ouverture suivante uniquement sous 599,24 $ : au-delà, le R/R vers TP1 tomberait sous 1,5 avec le même stop. Ce plafond n’est qu’à 3,73 $ au-dessus du déclencheur, soit 0,12 ATR. Mesure : sur les 250 dernières séances, 51 ouvertures ont dépassé la clôture de la veille de plus de 3,73 $, soit environ 20 % ; l’écart d’ouverture médian, dans un sens ou dans l’autre, vaut 2,18 $. Sur la série, 29 clôtures ont cassé un plus haut de vingt séances : 5 ont fini à moins de 0,63 % au-dessus du niveau cassé, l’écart relatif du plafond, et 4 ont ensuite ouvert sous ce seuil, soit environ 14 % des cassures : l’entrée à l’ouverture est quasi inexécutable. Plan de repli : si l’ouverture dépasse le plafond, un ordre à cours limité à 599,24 $, valable trois séances, garde le même R/R et le même stop. Bornes de cet ordre : il est annulé après toute clôture sous le déclencheur, 595,51 $ ; il n’est pas laissé actif à l’ouverture d’une séance qui ouvre sous le stop, 542,23 $, ni si le stop est touché avant exécution. Rejouées avec ces bornes sur les 25 cassures non achetables à l’ouverture, l’ordre aurait été exécuté 16 fois, sans que le stop soit touché la même séance ; aucun retrait sur ouverture sous le stop ; 10 de ces exécutions ont fini la séance sous le niveau cassé. La borne de clôture sous le déclencheur n’est pas comptée à part : une telle clôture suppose que le plafond a été touché dans la séance, donc que l’ordre a déjà été exécuté. Définition statistique, identique au gabarit du lot précédent : une cassure est la première clôture au-dessus du plus haut des vingt séances précédentes, la veille ayant clôturé à ce niveau ou dessous ; le plan, lui, s’active sur toute clôture au-dessus du déclencheur. Objectifs : TP1 à une hauteur de couloir au-dessus du déclencheur, TP2 à une fois et demie. Liquidité : environ 5,1 Md$ échangés par séance, médiane des vingt dernières. Exemple de taille, non personnalisé : avec un budget de perte de 100 $, le risque au plafond, 57,01 $ par action, donne 1 action : à ce prix, un tel budget ne permet qu’une position symbolique. Avec 1 000 $, 17 actions ; recommandation générale, non personnalisée : n’en garder que 8 avant la clôture du 30 septembre, Micron publiant ce soir-là dans l’horizon du plan.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.entryNote" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.thesis", "value": "Le marché a acheté le carnet de 95 Md$ et la prévision relevée, puis a marqué une pause sous le sommet du 18 septembre ; le rebond du 25 reste sous ce seuil. Une clôture au-dessus de $595.51 montrerait que les acheteurs passent outre le coût des mémoires. Avant activation, une clôture sous 506,25 $ abandonne le dossier. Après activation, le stop sous $542.23 limite le coût d’une fausse sortie. TP1 à 684,77 $ et TP2 à 729,40 $. Ne pas anticiper le déclencheur, ne pas acheter un gap au-dessus du plafond, réduire de moitié avant la clôture du 30 septembre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.thesis" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.catalysts.0", "value": "Une clôture au-dessus du plus haut du 18 septembre, sur un volume au moins égal à la médiane récente.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.catalysts.0" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.catalysts.1", "value": "La publication de Micron le 30 septembre, date donnée par deux calendriers concordants, après la clôture selon l’un d’eux : ses prix de mémoire touchent directement les coûts de Dell.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.catalysts.1" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.invalidation.0", "value": "Avant activation : une clôture sous 506,25 $, bas du couloir, abandonne le scénario.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.invalidation.0" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.invalidation.1", "value": "Après activation : une clôture sous 542,23 $ invalide le trade.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.invalidation.1" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.invalidation.2", "value": "Ouverture au-dessus de 599,24 $ après la clôture de déclenchement : pas d’achat à l’ouverture ; seul l’ordre limité à 599,24 $ reste valable trois séances.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.invalidation.2" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.invalidation.3", "value": "Ordre limité de repli annulé après une clôture sous 595,51 $, retiré avant toute ouverture sous le stop à 542,23 $ et si le stop est touché avant exécution.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.invalidation.3" }, { "path": "globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.0", "value": "Revenus +58 %, carnet d’IA de 95 Md$.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.0" }, { "path": "globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.1", "value": "Prévision annuelle relevée à 192 Md$.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.1" }, { "path": "globalScore.keyTakeawaysNegative.2", "value": "Plafond d’achat à 0,12 ATR du déclencheur.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": 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"source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.return5d", "value": 3.51, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.return21d", "value": 7.33, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.correlation", "value": 0.426, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.beta", "value": 1.6217, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.r2", "value": 0.1815, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.observations", "value": 179, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.return5d", "value": 3.19, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.return21d", "value": 4.66, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.scenarios.0.firstOrder", "value": "Le titre clôture au-dessus du sommet du 18 septembre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.scenarios.0.firstOrder" }, { "path": "blastRadius.scenarios.0.confirmation", "value": "Une clôture au-dessus de 595,51 $ avec SMH en hausse.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.scenarios.0.confirmation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.scenarios.1.firstOrder", "value": "Le titre oscille entre le bas du 10 septembre et le sommet du 18.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.scenarios.1.firstOrder" }, { "path": "blastRadius.scenarios.1.confirmation", "value": "Des clôtures entre 506,25 $ et 595,51 $ pendant plusieurs séances.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.scenarios.1.confirmation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.scenarios.2.firstOrder", "value": "Le titre repasse sous le bas du 10 septembre.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.scenarios.2.firstOrder" }, { "path": "blastRadius.scenarios.2.confirmation", "value": "Une clôture sous 506,25 $ avec Super Micro en baisse.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.scenarios.2.confirmation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.contradictions.0", "value": "Les revenus et le carnet battent tous les records, mais le flux de trésorerie opérationnel du trimestre recule de 13 % : la croissance consomme du fonds de roulement.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.contradictions.0" }, { "path": "blastRadius.contradictions.1", "value": "Une corrélation élevée avec HPE ne prouve pas un lien commercial ; le client à 12 % des revenus n’est pas nommé.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.contradictions.1" }, { "path": "blastRadius.missingData.0", "value": "Le client à 12 % des revenus de l’exercice n’est pas nommé : aucun client coté n’entre dans les comparables comme client documenté ; les clouds figurent comme catégorie d’acheteurs.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.missingData.0" }, { "path": "blastRadius.missingData.1", "value": "Répartition du carnet de 95 Md$ par client et par date de livraison non publiée.", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.missingData.1" }, { "path": "blastRadius.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-27", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.name", "value": "Dell Technologies 10-Q", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.name" }, { "path": "blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1571996/000157199626000046/dell-20260731.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-09-08", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.startDate", "value": "2026-08-26", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.windowReturns.startDate" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.endDate", "value": "2026-09-25", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.windowReturns.endDate" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.0.returnPct", "value": 21.36, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/0/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.1.returnPct", "value": 13.96, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/1/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.2.returnPct", "value": 15.7, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/2/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.3.returnPct", "value": 2.56, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/3/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.4.returnPct", "value": -1.89, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/4/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.5.returnPct", "value": -5.04, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/5/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.6.returnPct", "value": 7.35, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/6/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.7.returnPct", "value": 31.13, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/7/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.8.returnPct", "value": 39.39, "as_of": 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-7.91, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/11/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.12.returnPct", "value": 3.99, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/12/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.13.returnPct", "value": -3.98, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/13/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.14.returnPct", "value": 2.12, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/14/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.15.returnPct", "value": 9.14, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/15/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.16.returnPct", "value": 7.33, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/16/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.windowReturns.rows.17.returnPct", "value": 4.66, "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/values/performance/windowReturns/rows/17/returnPct" }, { "path": "performance.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-27", "as_of": "2026-09-25", "source_artifact": "analyses/DELL/_runs/20260927/revision/numeric-evidence.json", "source_sha256": "b137647349cba6ecc1f3ec716340b656160b2830765a665cbffb0eb9d534827d", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.sourceRefs.0.date" } ] }