{ "ticker": "MTDR", "reference_close": "2026-09-23", "analysis_path": "data/analyses-data/MTDR.json", "analysis_sha256": "aa7ecf5b7ef7b7557674caab4edacacf01e0765d9ccbd3d53926bfc3b7f66416", "claims": [ { "path": "meta.date", "value": "2026-09-24", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.date" }, { "path": "meta.dateDisplay", "value": "24 septembre 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.dateDisplay" }, { "path": "meta.version", "value": 3, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/meta/version" }, { "path": "meta.lastMcpRefresh", "value": "2026-09-24T05:23:42.239535247Z", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.lastMcpRefresh" }, { "path": "meta.levelsCloseDate", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.levelsCloseDate" }, { "path": "meta.levelsVerifiedAt", "value": "2026-09-24T05:23:42.239535247Z", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.levelsVerifiedAt" }, { "path": "meta.description", "value": "Matador (MTDR) a perdu 17,5 % depuis le 15 septembre, contre 8,5 % pour le fonds des producteurs XOP. Le secteur a reculé, le titre a amplifié la baisse. Trimestre solide, dette en hausse avant deux acquisitions : surveiller, sans entrer au cours actuel.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.description" }, { "path": "meta.ogDescription", "value": "MTDR : choc sectoriel amplifié, dette en hausse, surveillance au 52,12 $ du 23 septembre 2026.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.ogDescription" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.0.at", "value": "2026-09-16T21:13:15.567Z", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.statusHistory.0.at" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.0.note", "value": "clôture au stop le 2026-09-16 (57.75)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.statusHistory.0.note" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.0.close", "value": 57.75, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/meta/statusHistory/0/close" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.1.at", "value": "2026-09-24T05:23:42.239535247Z", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.statusHistory.1.at" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.1.note", "value": "réanalyse sur la clôture du 23 septembre : pas d’entrée au cours, nouveau scénario conditionnel au-dessus de 58,09 $", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.statusHistory.1.note" }, { "path": "meta.statusHistory.1.close", "value": 52.12, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/meta/statusHistory/1/close" }, { "path": "meta.lastEvent.date", "value": "2026-09-16", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/meta.lastEvent.date" }, { "path": "meta.lastEvent.close", "value": 57.75, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/meta/lastEvent/close" }, { "path": "header.price", "value": 52.12, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/header/price" }, { "path": "header.changePct", "value": 0.5013497878904705, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/header/changePct" }, { "path": "header.metrics.marketCap", "value": "6,45 Md$ (clôture × actions)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.marketCap" }, { "path": "header.metrics.volume", "value": "1,92 M", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.volume" }, { "path": "header.metrics.beta", "value": 0.788, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/header/metrics/beta" }, { "path": "header.metrics.range52w", "value": "37,14 – 66,84 $", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.range52w" }, { "path": "header.metrics.shortInterest", "value": "11,72 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.shortInterest" }, { "path": "header.metrics.analystTarget", "value": "68,68 $ (consensus)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.analystTarget" }, { "path": "header.metrics.evEbitda", "value": "4,61x (fournisseur, période non datée)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/header.metrics.evEbitda" }, { "path": "verdict.score", "value": 58, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/verdict/score" }, { "path": "verdict.confidence", "value": "Faible : 69 dépôts de l’année passés en revue, mais le prix de Ridge Runner n’est pas publié et les comptes du fournisseur ne sont pas datés.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.confidence" }, { "path": "verdict.summary", "value": "Matador sort d’un trimestre solide et l’action vient de décrocher plus que son secteur. Au T2, la production pétrolière a atteint un record de 126 106 barils par jour et le BPA ajusté 2,61 $ contre 2,09 $ attendus. Le 10-Q du 7 août montrait déjà la dette à long terme passée de 3,40 à 4,22 Md$ : le titre a pourtant gagné 28,8 % jusqu’au 15 septembre. Depuis, tout le secteur a reculé : -8,1 % pour le pétrole coté, -8,5 % pour XOP, -11,5 % pour PR. MTDR a perdu 17,5 %, environ six points de plus que ses pairs du bassin. Aucun dépôt n’explique cet écart ; un bilan qui gonfle avant Paloma, 1,275 Md$ en numéraire au T4, amplifie plausiblement la sensibilité au baril. C’est une hypothèse, pas une cause établie. Pas d’entrée au cours actuel ; un scénario seulement au-dessus de 58,09 $.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.summary" }, { "path": "verdict.whyBuy.0", "value": "BPA ajusté de 2,61 $ au T2 contre 2,09 $ attendus : quatrième dépassement consécutif, avec une surprise moyenne de 18,0 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyBuy.0" }, { "path": "verdict.whyBuy.1", "value": "Réserves prouvées portées à un record de 703 millions de barils équivalent pétrole au 30 juin, contre 667 millions fin 2025, avant Paloma.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyBuy.1" }, { "path": "verdict.whyBuy.2", "value": "Le directeur financier a acheté 2 500 actions à 56,64 $ le 27 août, soit environ 141 600 $ : un signal modeste, mais un achat en numéraire à un cours supérieur au cours actuel.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyBuy.2" }, { "path": "verdict.whyBuy.3", "value": "Guidance pétrole relevée à 127 500–129 000 barils par jour, et le gazoduc Hugh Brinson doit apporter environ 90 M$ de revenus annuels par tranche de 0,50 $/MMBtu gagnée sur le prix du gaz.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyBuy.3" }, { "path": "verdict.whyAvoid.0", "value": "Dette pro forma d’au moins 6,41 Md$ après Paloma : 4,82 Md$ chez Matador (obligations, ligne de crédit, prix de Paloma) et 1,59 Md$ chez San Mateo, sans recours sur Matador, dont 650,0 M$ à rembourser le 30 juillet 2027. Ridge Runner non compris, faute de prix publié.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyAvoid.0" }, { "path": "verdict.whyAvoid.1", "value": "Depuis le 15 septembre, MTDR recule de 17,49 % contre 11,47 % pour PR et 12,23 % pour FANG : le titre amplifie les baisses de son secteur.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyAvoid.1" }, { "path": "verdict.whyAvoid.2", "value": "Le titre clôture sous ses moyennes exponentielles à vingt (56,86 $) et cinquante séances (55,74 $) ; aucun plus bas ascendant n’est encore formé.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyAvoid.2" }, { "path": "verdict.whyAvoid.3", "value": "Trois acheteurs font 72 % des revenus d’hydrocarbures 2025, dont Plains Marketing pour 49 % : une concentration commerciale forte.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/verdict.whyAvoid.3" }, { "path": "business.overview", "value": "

Matador produit du pétrole et du gaz dans le bassin Delaware, à cheval sur le Nouveau-Mexique et l’ouest du Texas, et détient 51 % de San Mateo, son réseau de collecte et de traitement du gaz. Au T2 2026, la société a produit 126 106 barils de pétrole par jour, un record, et a dégagé 937,1 M$ de flux opérationnel. La part du pétrole dans la production fait de chaque dollar sur le baril un levier direct sur le cash.

Le trait marquant de 2026 est l’accélération des achats. Vente fédérale de concessions en mai, Cardinal Midstream pour 752,0 M$ fin juillet côté San Mateo, puis deux accords signés le 22 juillet : Paloma pour 1,275 Md$ en numéraire et Ridge Runner, dont le prix n’est pas publié. Les deux doivent se conclure au T4. La direction affirme ne pas avoir besoin d’émettre d’actions et vise un levier de 1,0x fin 2027, financé par le flux de trésorerie disponible.

Ce pari vaut ce que vaut le baril pendant les dix-huit prochains mois. La dette à long terme est passée de 3,402 à 4,216 Md$ entre décembre et juin, avant ces acquisitions ; une partie, chez San Mateo, est sans recours sur Matador. Le marché ne l’a pas sanctionné à la publication du 10-Q. Il l’a fait quand le pétrole s’est retourné : un producteur plus endetté encaisse moins bien la baisse du baril que ses pairs.

", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.overview" }, { "path": "business.coverageMatrix.0.decision", "value": "Seconde source de cotations : une barre du 15 septembre était incohérente chez la première.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.coverageMatrix.0.decision" }, { "path": "business.coverageMatrix.2.decision", "value": "Communiqué T2 et 10-Q ouverts et hachés.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.coverageMatrix.2.decision" }, { "path": "business.coverageMatrix.7.decision", "value": "Couverture du corpus officiel incomplète ; un achat de formulaire 4 relevé.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.coverageMatrix.7.decision" }, { "path": "business.segments.0.revenue", "value": "1 083,3 M$ de revenus pétrole et gaz au T2 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.0.revenue" }, { "path": "business.segments.0.pct", "value": "88,4 % du résultat opérationnel des segments", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.0.pct" }, { "path": "business.segments.0.description", "value": "Puits opérés du bassin Delaware ; résultat opérationnel de 541,4 M$ au T2 ; cœur de la valeur et de la dette.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.0.description" }, { "path": "business.segments.1.revenue", "value": "146,3 M$ de services au T2 2026, dont 101,7 M$ éliminés en intragroupe", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.1.revenue" }, { "path": "business.segments.1.pct", "value": "11,6 % du résultat opérationnel des segments", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.1.pct" }, { "path": "business.segments.1.description", "value": "Collecte et traitement du gaz, détenu à 51 %, élargi par l’achat de Cardinal pour 752,0 M$ ; résultat opérationnel de 71,3 M$ au T2.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.segments.1.description" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Matador — résultats du T2 2026 (pièce 99.1)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000036/a20260630mtdr8ker-ex991.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.0.url" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-08-05", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.1.name", "value": "Matador — 10-Q du T2 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.1.name" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000041/mtdr-20260630.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-08-07", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.2.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000110465926086469/tm2621144d1_8k.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.2.url" }, { "path": "business.sourceRefs.2.date", "value": "2026-07-24", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/business.sourceRefs.2.date" }, { "path": "news.0.date", "value": "2026-09-10", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.0.date" }, { "path": "news.0.detail", "value": "Van Singleton part à la retraite et devient conseiller spécial contre 450 000 $ par an ; Bryan Erman, déjà responsable des fusions-acquisitions, reprend la co-présidence, et Jonathan Filbert le foncier et les cessions-acquisitions.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.0.detail" }, { "path": "news.0.source", "value": "SEC 8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.0.source" }, { "path": "news.0.sourceUrl", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000043/mtdr-20260909.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.0.sourceUrl" }, { "path": "news.1.date", "value": "2026-08-05", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.1.date" }, { "path": "news.1.title", "value": "T2 record et guidance pétrole relevée", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.1.title" }, { "path": "news.1.detail", "value": "BPA ajusté 2,61 $, flux disponible ajusté 303,2 M$ et objectif de levier 1,0x fin 2027 : le cash du trimestre est fléché vers la dette.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.1.detail" }, { "path": "news.1.source", "value": "SEC 8-K, pièce 99.1", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.1.source" }, { "path": "news.1.sourceUrl", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000036/a20260630mtdr8ker-ex991.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.1.sourceUrl" }, { "path": "news.2.date", "value": "2026-07-24", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.2.date" }, { "path": "news.2.detail", "value": "Paloma coûte 1,275 Md$ en numéraire ; le prix de Ridge Runner n’est pas publié ; les deux se financent par trésorerie et ligne de crédit au T4.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.2.detail" }, { "path": "news.2.source", "value": "SEC 8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.2.source" }, { "path": "news.2.sourceUrl", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000110465926086469/tm2621144d1_8k.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.2.sourceUrl" }, { "path": "news.3.date", "value": "2026-08-31", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.3.date" }, { "path": "news.3.detail", "value": "Christopher Calvert a acheté 2 500 actions à 56,64 $ ; il détient ensuite 44 000 actions en détention indirecte.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.3.detail" }, { "path": "news.3.source", "value": "SEC formulaire 4", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.3.source" }, { "path": "news.3.sourceUrl", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000202028626000008/", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/news.3.sourceUrl" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.0.value", "value": "3,84 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.0.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.0.signal", "value": "Relevé fournisseur du 2026-09-24, période non datée", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.0.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.1.value", "value": "2,40 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.1.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.1.signal", "value": "Relevé fournisseur du 2026-09-24, période non datée", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.1.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.2.value", "value": "49,2 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.2.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.3.value", "value": "18,8 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.3.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.4.value", "value": "13,6 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.4.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.5.value", "value": "4,32 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.5.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.6.value", "value": "26,3 M$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.6.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.7.value", "value": "4,61x", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.7.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.7.signal", "value": "Relevé fournisseur du 2026-09-24, vs médiane des pairs 5,29x", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.7.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.8.value", "value": "65,23 $ par action", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.8.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.8.signal", "value": "Scénario au multiple médian 5,29x, comptes du fournisseur non datés (relevé du 2026-09-24), vs 52,12 $", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.8.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.8.note", "value": "Minoritaires de San Mateo (322,3 M$ au 30 juin) déduits ; après le prix de Paloma : 54,93 $, sans créditer son EBITDA non publié. Indicatif seulement.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.8.note" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.8.source", "value": "Calcul local sur statistiques, contexte des comparables et 10-Q", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.8.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.9.value", "value": "1,09x", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.9.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.9.signal", "value": "Relevé fournisseur du 2026-09-24, vs pairs directs", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.9.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.9.note", "value": "Valeur comptable 47,81 $ par action selon le fournisseur.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.9.note" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.metric", "value": "BPA ajusté T2", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.value", "value": "2,61 $", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.signal", "value": "Trimestre T2 2026, non-GAAP", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.note", "value": "Contre 2,09 $ attendus.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.note" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.10.source", "value": "Communiqué T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.10.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.11.metric", "value": "EBITDA ajusté T2", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.11.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.11.value", "value": "781,0 M$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.11.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.11.signal", "value": "Trimestre T2 2026, non-GAAP", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.11.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.11.source", "value": "Communiqué T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.11.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.12.metric", "value": "Flux opérationnel T2", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.12.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.12.value", "value": "937,1 M$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.12.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.12.signal", "value": "Trimestre T2 2026, GAAP", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.12.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.12.source", "value": "Communiqué T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.12.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.13.metric", "value": "FCF ajusté T2 (free cash flow)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.13.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.13.value", "value": "303,2 M$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.13.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.13.signal", "value": "Trimestre T2 2026, non-GAAP vs 113,3 M$ au T1", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.13.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.13.source", "value": "Communiqué T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.13.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.14.metric", "value": "FCF ajusté visé 2026 (free cash flow)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.14.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.14.value", "value": "environ 900 M$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.14.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.14.signal", "value": "Prévision 2026, guidance non-GAAP", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.14.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.14.source", "value": "Communiqué T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.14.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.15.metric", "value": "Dette à long terme au 30 juin", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.15.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.15.value", "value": "4,216 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.15.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.15.signal", "value": "Trimestre T2 2026 vs 3,402 Md$ en décembre", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.15.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.15.note", "value": "Avant les deux acquisitions du T4.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.15.note" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.15.source", "value": "10-Q du T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.15.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.16.metric", "value": "Ligne de crédit tirée au 5 août", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.16.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.16.value", "value": "1,18 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.16.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.16.signal", "value": "Au 2026-08-05", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.16.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.16.note", "value": "Engagements élus de 2,75 Md$.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.16.note" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.16.source", "value": "10-Q du T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.16.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.17.value", "value": "1,586 Md$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.17.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.17.signal", "value": "Au 2026-08-05, ligne de 936,0 M$ et prêt à terme de 650,0 M$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.17.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.17.note", "value": "Filiale détenue à 51 % ; le prêt de 650,0 M$ arrive à échéance le 30 juillet 2027.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.17.note" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.17.source", "value": "10-Q du T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.17.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.18.metric", "value": "Intérêts minoritaires au 30 juin", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.18.metric" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.18.value", "value": "322,3 M$", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.18.value" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.18.signal", "value": "Trimestre T2 2026, bilan", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.18.signal" }, { "path": "fundamentals.rows.18.source", "value": "10-Q du T2 de l’émetteur", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.rows.18.source" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.name", "value": "Matador — résultats du T2 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.name" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000036/a20260630mtdr8ker-ex991.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-08-05", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/fundamentals.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.0.quarter", "value": "3Q2025", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.quarters.0.quarter" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.0.epsActual", "value": 1.36, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/quarters/0/epsActual" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.0.epsEstimate", "value": 1.22525, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/quarters/0/epsEstimate" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.0.surprise", "value": "+11,00 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.quarters.0.surprise" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.1.quarter", "value": "4Q2025", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.quarters.1.quarter" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.1.epsActual", "value": 0.87, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/quarters/1/epsActual" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.1.epsEstimate", "value": 0.75566, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/quarters/1/epsEstimate" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.1.surprise", "value": "+15,13 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.quarters.1.surprise" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.2.quarter", "value": "1Q2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.quarters.2.quarter" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.2.epsActual", "value": 1.53, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/quarters/2/epsActual" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.2.epsEstimate", "value": 1.26018, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/quarters/2/epsEstimate" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.2.surprise", "value": "+21,41 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.quarters.2.surprise" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.3.quarter", "value": "2Q2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.quarters.3.quarter" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.3.epsActual", "value": 2.61, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/quarters/3/epsActual" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.3.epsEstimate", "value": 2.0938, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/quarters/3/epsEstimate" }, { "path": "earnings.quarters.3.surprise", "value": "+24,65 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.quarters.3.surprise" }, { "path": "earnings.beatStreak", "value": 4, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/earnings/beatStreak" }, { "path": "earnings.beatNote", "value": "Matador a battu le consensus quatre trimestres de suite, et l’écart s’élargit : au T2 2026, 2,61 $ de BPA ajusté contre 2,09 $ attendus, 781,0 M$ d’EBITDA ajusté et 303,2 M$ de flux de trésorerie disponible ajusté, presque le triple du T1. La guidance annuelle de production pétrolière passe à 127 500–129 000 barils par jour, et le budget de forage, complétion et équipement à 1,48–1,56 Md$ : une partie de la croissance est achetée par un capex plus lourd. La prochaine publication est annoncée au 27 octobre par le calendrier du fournisseur, date non confirmée par l’émetteur ; elle tombera avant la clôture des deux acquisitions.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.beatNote" }, { "path": "earnings.nextEarnings", "value": "27 octobre 2026 (calendrier du fournisseur, non confirmée par l’émetteur)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.nextEarnings" }, { "path": "earnings.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Matador — résultats du T2 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "earnings.sourceRefs.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000036/a20260630mtdr8ker-ex991.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.sourceRefs.0.url" }, { "path": "earnings.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-08-05", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "earnings.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/earnings.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "insiders.insiderPct", "value": "7,09 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.insiderPct" }, { "path": "insiders.institutionPct", "value": "98,73 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.institutionPct" }, { "path": "insiders.topHolders.0.pct", "value": "1,43 M d’actions au 30 juin", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.topHolders.0.pct" }, { "path": "insiders.topHolders.0.role", "value": "Gérant suivi (13F), panel restreint", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.topHolders.0.role" }, { "path": "insiders.topHolders.1.pct", "value": "0,14 M d’actions au 30 juin", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.topHolders.1.pct" }, { "path": "insiders.topHolders.1.role", "value": "Gérant suivi (13F), panel restreint", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.topHolders.1.role" }, { "path": "insiders.recentTransactions.0.date", "value": "2026-08-27", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.recentTransactions.0.date" }, { "path": "insiders.recentTransactions.0.shares", "value": "2 500", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.recentTransactions.0.shares" }, { "path": "insiders.recentTransactions.0.value", "value": "141 600 $", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.recentTransactions.0.value" }, { "path": "insiders.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/insiders.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sharesOutstanding", "value": "123,75 M d’actions (fournisseur)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sharesOutstanding" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.shareHistory", "value": "Le risque de dilution par émission d’actions est faible à ce stade : la direction écrit ne pas prévoir d’appel au marché actions, et aucun enregistrement d’émission ni supplément de prospectus n’apparaît dans les dépôts de 2026. Le risque est ailleurs, dans la dette : 750 M$ d’obligations à 6,000 % émises en mars, engagements de la ligne de crédit portés à 2,75 Md$ en juin, puis Paloma à financer au T4. Le passage des actions de base aux actions diluées n’est pas calculable ici faute de tableau de rémunération en actions à jour.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.shareHistory" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Matador — obligations 2034", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000110465926024110/tm268001d1_8k.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.url" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-03-05", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000029/mtdr-20260610.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-06-16", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.name", "value": "Matador — 10-Q du T2 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.name" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000041/mtdr-20260630.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.url" }, { "path": "capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.date", "value": "2026-08-07", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalStructure.sourceRefs.2.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.summary", "value": "Les 69 dépôts EDGAR de 2026 jusqu’au 23 septembre ont été listés ; huit documents décisifs ont été ouverts. Aucun ne porte d’émission d’actions. Tous décrivent un financement par dette d’acquisitions successives.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.summary" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.form", "value": "10-Q", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.date", "value": "2026-08-07", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.accession", "value": "0001520006-26-000041", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.finding", "value": "Le 10-Q montre une dette à long terme de 4,216 Md$ au 30 juin contre 3,402 Md$ en décembre, puis 243,0 M$ tirés en plus sur la ligne de Matador jusqu’au 5 août. La ligne de San Mateo, 936,0 M$ à cette date, est sans recours sur Matador. Paloma et Ridge Runner y figurent en événements postérieurs, à financer par trésorerie et ligne de crédit.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000041/mtdr-20260630.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.0.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.form", "value": "8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.date", "value": "2026-07-24", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.accession", "value": "0001104659-26-086469", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.finding", "value": "L’accord Paloma fixe 1,275 Md$ en numéraire, ajusté du fonds de roulement, avec une date d’effet au 1er juin et une clôture attendue au T4. Le prix de Ridge Runner n’apparaît ni dans le 8-K ni dans le communiqué : un montant inconnu s’ajoutera à la dette.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000110465926086469/tm2621144d1_8k.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.1.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.form", "value": "8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.date", "value": "2026-03-05", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.accession", "value": "0001104659-26-024110", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.finding", "value": "Émission en mars de 750 M$ d’obligations senior à 6,000 % à échéance 2034, pour un produit net d’environ 737,2 M$. Le coût de la dette nouvelle reste élevé et pèse sur le flux disponible destiné au désendettement.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.2.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000110465926024110/tm268001d1_8k.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.2.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.form", "value": "10-K", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.date", "value": "2026-02-26", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.accession", "value": "0001520006-26-000002", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.finding", "value": "Le 10-K 2025 révèle une concentration commerciale : trois acheteurs font 72 % des revenus d’hydrocarbures, dont Plains Marketing pour 49 %. La direction juge ces acheteurs remplaçables, mais la dépendance aux conditions d’écoulement reste réelle.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.3.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000002/mtdr-20251231.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.3.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.form", "value": "8-K", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.form" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.date", "value": "2026-09-10", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.date" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.accession", "value": "0001520006-26-000043", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.accession" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.finding", "value": "Le 8-K de septembre acte le départ en retraite du co-président chargé du foncier et des acquisitions, devenu conseiller à 450 000 $ par an. Bryan Erman, responsable des fusions-acquisitions depuis juin 2025, reprend la co-présidence ; Jonathan Filbert reprend le foncier. La succession est interne, avant deux clôtures attendues au T4.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.finding" }, { "path": "filingsReview.filings.4.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000043/mtdr-20260909.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.filings.4.url" }, { "path": "filingsReview.contrarianRisks.1", "value": "Le prix de Ridge Runner n’est pas publié : la dette pro forma d’au moins 6,41 Md$ est un plancher, dont 1,59 Md$ sans recours sur Matador.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.contrarianRisks.1" }, { "path": "filingsReview.contrarianRisks.2", "value": "Les prix du gaz à Waha sont devenus négatifs au T2 et ont forcé des arrêts de production ; le gazoduc Hugh Brinson ne doit démarrer qu’à la fin du T3.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.contrarianRisks.2" }, { "path": "filingsReview.contrarianRisks.3", "value": "Le prêt à terme de 650,0 M$ de San Mateo arrive à échéance le 30 juillet 2027 : un refinancement à prévoir dans moins d’un an, en plein désendettement annoncé.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/filingsReview.contrarianRisks.3" }, { "path": "shortInterest.siPct", "value": "11,72 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/shortInterest.siPct" }, { "path": "shortInterest.daysToCover", "value": "6,73", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/shortInterest.daysToCover" }, { "path": "shortInterest.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/shortInterest.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "options.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/options.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "technicals.rsi14", "value": 36.10876119118059, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/rsi14" }, { "path": "technicals.macd", "value": -0.20413656281220938, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/macd" }, { "path": "technicals.macdSignal", "value": 1.0140545307267406, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/macdSignal" }, { "path": "technicals.ema20", "value": 56.85587167590898, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/ema20" }, { "path": "technicals.ema50", "value": 55.73997629703738, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/ema50" }, { "path": "technicals.ema200", "value": 52.24136318611024, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/ema200" }, { "path": "technicals.atr14", "value": 2.07291688139267, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/atr14" }, { "path": "technicals.supports.0", "value": 51.73, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/supports/0" }, { "path": "technicals.supports.1", "value": 45.435, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/supports/1" }, { "path": "technicals.resistances.0", "value": 58.09, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/resistances/0" }, { "path": "technicals.resistances.1", "value": 63.82, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/technicals/resistances/1" }, { "path": "technicals.setupNote", "value": "Le décrochage du 16 septembre (−8,61 %) a ouvert une zone entre 58,09 $ et 61,92 $. Le scénario ne s’active qu’à une clôture au-dessus de 58.10 $, avec un stop à 53.85 $ sous le plus bas du 21 septembre (53,88 $). Entre les deux, le titre flotte autour de sa moyenne exponentielle à deux cents séances (52,24 $) : aucune entrée, attendre le déclenchement en gardant le titre sous surveillance.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/technicals.setupNote" }, { "path": "technicals.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/technicals.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "macro.impact", "value": "Le régime de marché est classé favorable au risque avec une confiance de 53 %, mais la séance du 23 septembre a été dominée par la hausse des taux longs américains. Pour Matador, le taux compte deux fois : il pèse sur la valorisation et il renchérit une dette à taux variable en expansion.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/macro.impact" }, { "path": "macro.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/macro.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "risks.riskScore", "value": 7, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/risks/riskScore" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.0.points.0", "value": "Dette à long terme passée de 3,402 à 4,216 Md$ en six mois, avant Paloma (1,275 Md$) et Ridge Runner.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.0.points.0" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.0.points.1", "value": "Le levier cible de 1,0x fin 2027 dépend du prix du pétrole et de l’intégration.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.0.points.1" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.1.points.0", "value": "Du 15 au 23 septembre : MTDR −17,49 %, PR −11,47 %, XOP −8,54 %, USO −8,05 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.1.points.0" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.2.points.0", "value": "Des prix négatifs à Waha ont forcé des arrêts au T2.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.2.points.0" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.2.points.1", "value": "Le gazoduc Hugh Brinson doit démarrer fin T3 : un retard prolongerait la décote sur le gaz.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.2.points.1" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.3.points.0", "value": "Plains Marketing représente 49 % des revenus d’hydrocarbures 2025.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.3.points.0" }, { "path": "risks.riskCards.3.verdict", "value": "Risque faible en probabilité, élevé en conséquence ; à suivre dans le prochain 10-K.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.riskCards.3.verdict" }, { "path": "risks.pedagogy", "value": "Un scénario conditionnel n’est pas un ordre : attendre la clôture au-dessus du seuil, pas l’intraday. Prix plafond : si l’ouverture suivante se fait au-dessus de 58,37 $, le rapport gain/risque vers le premier objectif passe sous 1,2 ; ne pas acheter et attendre un repli vers 58,10 $. La liquidité est correcte : 1,80 M de titres échangés en moyenne sur vingt séances, environ 104 M$ par jour. Exemple de taille de position, non personnalisé : avec un budget de risque de 1 % sur un compte de 10 000 $, soit 100 $, et 4,25 $ de risque par action, la position est de 23 actions. Ne pas acheter un gap d’ouverture après les résultats du 27 octobre, date non confirmée.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.pedagogy" }, { "path": "risks.sourceRefs.0.name", "value": "Matador — 10-Q du T2 2026", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.sourceRefs.0.name" }, { "path": "risks.sourceRefs.0.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000041/mtdr-20260630.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.sourceRefs.0.url" }, { "path": "risks.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-08-07", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "risks.sourceRefs.1.name", "value": "Matador — 10-K 2025", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.sourceRefs.1.name" }, { "path": "risks.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000002/mtdr-20251231.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "risks.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-02-26", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/risks.sourceRefs.1.date" }, { "path": "social.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/social.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "performance.ytd", "value": "+22,81 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.ytd" }, { "path": "performance.oneYear", "value": "+11,34 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.oneYear" }, { "path": "performance.benchmarks.0.ytd", "value": "5 séances −2,59 % ; 21 séances −1,17 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.benchmarks.0.ytd" }, { "path": "performance.benchmarks.1.ytd", "value": "5 séances −4,77 % ; 21 séances −1,93 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.benchmarks.1.ytd" }, { "path": "performance.benchmarks.2.ytd", "value": "5 séances −4,70 % ; 21 séances +12,57 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.benchmarks.2.ytd" }, { "path": "performance.benchmarks.3.ytd", "value": "5 séances −5,53 % ; 21 séances −8,48 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.benchmarks.3.ytd" }, { "path": "performance.alpha", "value": "Depuis le 15 septembre, MTDR fait −17,49 % contre −8,54 % pour XOP et −11,85 % pour la médiane des six pairs du bassin : la part sectorielle de la baisse vaut environ la moitié face à XOP (49 %) et deux tiers face aux pairs (68 %). Le reste est propre au titre, sans cause publiée. Du 7 août au 15 septembre, MTDR avait gagné +28,76 % contre +20,01 % pour XOP.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.alpha" }, { "path": "performance.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/performance.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "capitalFlow.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/capitalFlow.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.entry", "value": 58.1, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/tradeIdea/entry" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.entryNote", "value": "Uniquement sur une clôture au-dessus de 58,10 $, soit au-dessus du plus haut du 17 septembre (58,09 $), puis une ouverture sous 58,37 $. Aucune entrée au cours de 52,12 $.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.entryNote" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.stop", "value": 53.85, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/tradeIdea/stop" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.stopPct", "value": "-7.31 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.stopPct" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.tp1", "value": 63.8, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/tradeIdea/tp1" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.tp1Pct", "value": "+9.81 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.tp1Pct" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.tp2", "value": 66.8, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/tradeIdea/tp2" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.tp2Pct", "value": "+14.97 %", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.tp2Pct" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.rr", "value": "1:1.34 (TP1) / 1:2.05 (TP2)", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.rr" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.horizon", "value": "Dix à vingt séances après déclenchement ; revoir avant la publication du 27 octobre, non confirmée", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.horizon" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.thesis", "value": "Pas d’achat à 52,12 $. Le précédent scénario a été stoppé le 16 septembre, à une clôture enregistrée à l’époque de 57,75 $ (57,73 $ sur la source certifiée actuelle) ; celui-ci repart de zéro. Il ne devient valable qu’à une clôture au-dessus de 58.10 $, qui refermerait la moitié du décrochage du 16 septembre, avec un stop à 53.85 $. Le gain vers 63,80 $ ne vaut que 1,34 fois le risque : c’est mince, et au-dessus de 58,37 $ à l’ouverture il passe sous 1,2 ; dans ce cas, ne pas acheter. Ne pas anticiper le signal, ne pas acheter un gap d’ouverture, calibrer la taille de position sur la perte au stop. La publication attendue le 27 octobre, non confirmée, impose de réévaluer avant.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.thesis" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.catalysts.0", "value": "Publication du T3 avec la dette tirée sur la ligne de crédit et le point sur Paloma.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.catalysts.0" }, { "path": "tradeIdea.invalidation.0", "value": "Clôture sous 51,73 $, le plus bas du 23 septembre : la baisse continue et le scénario est retiré.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/tradeIdea.invalidation.0" }, { "path": "globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.0", "value": "Quatre trimestres de BPA au-dessus du consensus, dont 2,61 $ contre 2,09 $ au T2.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.0" }, { "path": "globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.1", "value": "Flux de trésorerie disponible ajusté de 303,2 M$ au T2, presque le triple du T1 (113,3 M$).", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.1" }, { "path": "globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.2", "value": "Achat en numéraire du directeur financier à 56,64 $ en août.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/globalScore.keyTakeawaysPositive.2" }, { "path": "globalScore.keyTakeawaysNegative.0", "value": "Dette pro forma d’au moins 6,41 Md$ hors Ridge Runner, dont 4,82 Md$ chez Matador.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/globalScore.keyTakeawaysNegative.0" }, { "path": "globalScore.keyTakeawaysNegative.1", "value": "Depuis le 15 septembre, −17,49 % contre −11,47 % pour PR : le titre amplifie les baisses du secteur.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/globalScore.keyTakeawaysNegative.1" }, { "path": "blastRadius.asOf", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.asOf" }, { "path": "blastRadius.observationTime", "value": "2026-09-24T05:23:42.239535247Z", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.observationTime" }, { "path": "blastRadius.window", "value": "2026-01-07 au 2026-09-23, 178 rendements communs", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.window" }, { "path": "blastRadius.methodology", "value": "Chaque comparable est classé par lien économique avant toute statistique : leaders, pairs du même bassin, fournisseurs de forage, acheteurs documentés dans le 10-K, gaz exporté et fonds de secteur. La corrélation et le bêta sont calculés sur les rendements logarithmiques des séances communes ; ils mesurent une co-variation passée, pas une causalité ni une couverture.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.methodology" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.order", "value": 1, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/order" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.0.correlation", "value": 0.8387040982452786, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/0/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.0.beta", "value": 1.1651868757683954, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/0/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.0.r2", "value": 0.7034245644134259, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/0/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.0.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/0/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.0.return5d", "value": -2.132063754916169, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/0/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.0.return21d", "value": -5.5721989215098855, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/0/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.0.readThrough", "value": "EOG sert de témoin du baril sans effet de levier financier : l’écart avec lui pourrait refléter le coût du bilan de Matador, sans que cela soit démontré. Depuis le 15 septembre : −7,74 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.0.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.1.correlation", "value": 0.7429831505056333, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/1/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.1.beta", "value": 1.1472713520772908, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/1/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.1.r2", "value": 0.5520239619352766, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/1/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.1.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/1/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.1.return5d", "value": -1.2796963017389196, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/1/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.1.return21d", "value": -1.7189881133800822, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/1/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.1.readThrough", "value": "Exxon Mobil achète 13 % de la production de Matador en 2025 : son raffinage amortit les baisses de brut que Matador subit en direct. Depuis le 15 septembre : −4,78 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.1.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.2.correlation", "value": 0.8201234133623181, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/2/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.2.beta", "value": 1.1243897186035905, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/2/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.2.r2", "value": 0.6726024131450596, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/2/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.2.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/2/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.2.return5d", "value": -3.3574769880790667, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/2/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.2.return21d", "value": -3.944506936632919, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/0/symbols/2/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.2.readThrough", "value": "ConocoPhillips capte le même baril mais sur plusieurs bassins et avec du gaz liquéfié : il dilue le risque local que Matador concentre. Depuis le 15 septembre : −9,30 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.0.symbols.2.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.order", "value": 1, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/order" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.0.correlation", "value": 0.8591080901327798, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/0/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.0.beta", "value": 1.0760517710337458, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/0/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.0.r2", "value": 0.7380667105315925, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/0/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.0.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/0/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.0.return5d", "value": -5.533769063180827, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/0/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.0.return21d", "value": -8.484592655128754, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/0/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.0.readThrough", "value": "Permian Resources opère dans les mêmes comtés du Delaware : c’est le comparable le plus direct pour les prix réalisés et le coût des puits. Depuis le 15 septembre : −11,47 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.0.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.1.correlation", "value": 0.8241850293674974, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/1/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.1.beta", "value": 1.04374252639527, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/1/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.1.r2", "value": 0.6792809626335026, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/1/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.1.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/1/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.1.return5d", "value": -4.569754292176409, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/1/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.1.return21d", "value": -9.703307392996107, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/1/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.1.readThrough", "value": "Diamondback subit le même prix du gaz à Waha : sa baisse depuis le 15 septembre, proche de celle de Matador, pointe un facteur de bassin. Depuis le 15 septembre : −12,23 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.1.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.2.correlation", "value": 0.8471949302211176, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/2/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.2.beta", "value": 1.035022464331263, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/2/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.2.r2", "value": 0.7177392497923643, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/2/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.2.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/2/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.2.return5d", "value": -0.8257638315441795, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/2/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.2.return21d", "value": -0.39394567696453553, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/2/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.2.readThrough", "value": "Devon a mieux résisté depuis le 15 septembre : sa diversification géographique amortit le choc du Permien. Depuis le 15 septembre : −6,41 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.2.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.3.correlation", "value": 0.8361182554080993, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/3/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.3.beta", "value": 0.9680652506230089, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/3/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.3.r2", "value": 0.6990937370266835, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/3/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.3.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/3/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.3.return5d", "value": -3.369272237196763, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/3/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.3.return21d", "value": -4.5749459324571635, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/3/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.3.readThrough", "value": "Occidental combine Permien et dette élevée : c’est le meilleur test de l’hypothèse selon laquelle le levier amplifie la baisse. Depuis le 15 septembre : −9,70 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.3.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.4.correlation", "value": 0.8292567479480702, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/4/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.4.beta", "value": 0.6589066387838293, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/4/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.4.r2", "value": 0.6876667540174093, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/4/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.4.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/4/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.4.return5d", "value": -10.089098532494745, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/4/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.4.return21d", "value": -5.896873285792648, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/4/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.4.readThrough", "value": "SM Energy a baissé presque autant que Matador : l’écart propre au titre est donc partagé par les producteurs de taille moyenne. Depuis le 15 septembre : −16,90 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.4.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.5.correlation", "value": 0.8728455823140849, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/5/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.5.beta", "value": 0.9038957180834842, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/5/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.5.r2", "value": 0.761859410565214, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/5/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.5.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/5/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.5.return5d", "value": -6.332041080051686, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/5/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.5.return21d", "value": -4.8040367733462315, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/1/symbols/5/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.5.readThrough", "value": "Chord n’est pas dans le Permien mais a une taille comparable : sa baisse similaire suggère un effet de taille autant que de bassin. Depuis le 15 septembre : −12,28 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.1.symbols.5.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.order", "value": 2, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/order" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.0.correlation", "value": 0.27664898369660174, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/0/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.0.beta", "value": 0.3265323919249885, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/0/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.0.r2", "value": 0.07653466018036262, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/0/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.0.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/0/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.0.return5d", "value": -0.8221797323135771, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/0/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.0.return21d", "value": -3.9444444444444504, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/0/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.0.readThrough", "value": "SLB dépend surtout de l’international : sa faible corrélation montre que le capex de Matador pèse peu sur lui. Depuis le 15 septembre : −4,30 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.0.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.1.correlation", "value": 0.5932948190553335, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/1/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.1.beta", "value": 0.7837207173403957, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/1/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.1.r2", "value": 0.35199874231790096, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/1/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.1.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/1/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.1.return5d", "value": -4.346566212691972, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/1/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.1.return21d", "value": -4.678024833959005, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/1/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.1.readThrough", "value": "Halliburton vend la fracturation aux producteurs du Permien : un budget de puits relevé par Matador le soutient. Depuis le 15 septembre : −7,46 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.1.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.2.correlation", "value": 0.7497033132813975, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/2/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.2.beta", "value": 0.6171322876750944, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/2/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.2.r2", "value": 0.5620550579451052, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/2/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.2.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/2/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.2.return5d", "value": -7.980049875311712, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/2/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.2.return21d", "value": -6.661045531197296, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/2/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.2.readThrough", "value": "Patterson-UTI loue les appareils de forage : il réagit au nombre de puits prévus, que Matador a relevé à 112,6 cette année. Depuis le 15 septembre : −12,90 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.2.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.3.correlation", "value": 0.6208616382512854, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/3/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.3.beta", "value": 0.6061278177109103, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/3/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.3.r2", "value": 0.38546917385206997, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/3/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.3.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/3/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.3.return5d", "value": -5.040806529044639, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/3/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.3.return21d", "value": -6.895740174158627, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/2/symbols/3/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.3.readThrough", "value": "Helmerich & Payne dépend du nombre d’appareils actifs : une coupe de capex des producteurs le toucherait en second rang. Depuis le 15 septembre : −8,95 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.2.symbols.3.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.order", "value": 2, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/order" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.0.correlation", "value": 0.5044395803257334, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/0/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.0.beta", "value": 1.0208851226315, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/0/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.0.r2", "value": 0.2544592901992021, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/0/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.0.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/0/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.0.return5d", "value": -3.855232100708106, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/0/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.0.return21d", "value": -2.083333333333337, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/0/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.0.readThrough", "value": "Plains Marketing représente 49 % des revenus 2025 de Matador : ses volumes transportés dépendent directement de la production promise. Depuis le 15 septembre : −5,16 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.0.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.1.correlation", "value": 0.4688951683787416, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/1/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.1.beta", "value": 1.0565747440132618, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/1/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.1.r2", "value": 0.21986267892892847, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/1/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.1.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/1/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.1.return5d", "value": -1.3651877133105894, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/1/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.1.return21d", "value": -2.0594369134515067, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/1/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.1.readThrough", "value": "Enterprise Products représente 10 % des revenus 2025 de Matador : son revenu tient aux volumes plus qu’au prix du brut. Depuis le 15 septembre : −3,20 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.1.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.2.correlation", "value": 0.32191373047948874, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/2/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.2.beta", "value": 0.6641557412397322, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/2/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.2.r2", "value": 0.10362844987122091, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/2/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.2.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/2/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.2.return5d", "value": 2.082655385616672, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/2/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.2.return21d", "value": 1.1935483870967767, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/2/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.2.readThrough", "value": "Kinder Morgan transporte le gaz du Permien : un prix de Waha déprimé réduit la valeur du gaz associé de Matador sans toucher ses tarifs. Depuis le 15 septembre : +1,95 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.2.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.3.correlation", "value": 0.2618762072799244, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/3/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.3.beta", "value": 0.4732431911361634, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/3/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.3.r2", "value": 0.06857914793931792, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/3/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.3.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/3/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.3.return5d", "value": 0.29619181946403117, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/3/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.3.return21d", "value": 0.1972664506129318, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/3/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.3.readThrough", "value": "Williams relie les bassins aux marchés de l’Est : sa faible corrélation rappelle que le transport est payé au volume, pas au prix. Depuis le 15 septembre : −0,73 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.3.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.4.correlation", "value": 0.5928892298780891, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/4/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.4.beta", "value": 0.7162088293305835, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/4/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.4.r2", "value": 0.3515176389054336, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/4/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.4.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/4/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.4.return5d", "value": -6.170274449168922, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/4/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.4.return21d", "value": 7.133399536577301, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/3/symbols/4/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.4.readThrough", "value": "Marathon Petroleum achète du brut : une baisse du baril améliore ses marges quand elle réduit celles de Matador. Depuis le 15 septembre : −5,47 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.3.symbols.4.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.4.order", "value": 2, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/4/order" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.4.symbols.0.correlation", "value": 0.6454319098432525, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/4/symbols/0/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.4.symbols.0.beta", "value": 0.3586672785150802, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/4/symbols/0/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.4.symbols.0.r2", "value": 0.41658235024390844, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/4/symbols/0/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.4.symbols.0.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/4/symbols/0/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.4.symbols.0.return5d", "value": -9.419795221843009, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/4/symbols/0/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.4.symbols.0.return21d", "value": -7.783182765809594, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/4/symbols/0/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.4.symbols.0.readThrough", "value": "Venture Global exporte du gaz liquéfié : plus de capacité d’export soutient à terme le prix du gaz texan que Matador vend avec décote. Depuis le 15 septembre : −13,21 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.4.symbols.0.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.order", "value": 1, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/order" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.0.correlation", "value": 0.8372976029068293, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/0/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.0.beta", "value": 1.585269540714359, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/0/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.0.r2", "value": 0.7010672758335225, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/0/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.0.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/0/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.0.return5d", "value": -2.5925347493362505, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/0/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.0.return21d", "value": -1.172555854856605, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/0/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.0.readThrough", "value": "XLE est dominé par les majors : il mesure le secteur pondéré par la taille, où Matador pèse très peu. Depuis le 15 septembre : −5,40 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.0.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.correlation", "value": 0.8846519745162892, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.beta", "value": 1.2625840797866321, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.r2", "value": 0.7826091160155692, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.return5d", "value": -4.770594369134518, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.return21d", "value": -1.927620274914088, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/1/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.readThrough", "value": "XOP équipondère les producteurs : c’est la mesure la plus juste du mouvement sectoriel de Matador. Depuis le 15 septembre : −8,54 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.1.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.correlation", "value": 0.668448771692686, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.beta", "value": 0.5245472299603388, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.r2", "value": 0.4468237603774607, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.return5d", "value": -4.700006403278467, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.return21d", "value": 12.57090991604266, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/2/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.readThrough", "value": "USO suit les contrats à terme sur le brut : il mesure le baril lui-même, sans effet de bilan ni de production. Depuis le 15 septembre : −8,05 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.2.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.3.correlation", "value": 0.5197318875807112, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/3/correlation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.3.beta", "value": 0.7686744620354782, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/3/beta" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.3.r2", "value": 0.27012123496820906, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/3/r2" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.3.observations", "value": 178, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/3/observations" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.3.return5d", "value": -1.0478929598599418, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/3/return5d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.3.return21d", "value": -3.192973012649547, "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/values/blastRadius/groups/5/symbols/3/return21d" }, { "path": "blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.3.readThrough", "value": "OIH résume les fournisseurs du secteur : il réagit aux budgets de forage plutôt qu’au prix du jour. Depuis le 15 septembre : −3,85 %.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.groups.5.symbols.3.readThrough" }, { "path": "blastRadius.scenarios.0.trigger", "value": "Le pétrole tient et Matador publie une dette tirée en baisse au T3.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.scenarios.0.trigger" }, { "path": "blastRadius.scenarios.2.confirmation", "value": "Clôture sous le plus bas du 23 septembre avec USO en baisse.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.scenarios.2.confirmation" }, { "path": "blastRadius.contradictions.0", "value": "Sur vingt et une séances, le pétrole coté gagne 12,6 % quand XOP perd 1,9 % : les producteurs ne suivent pas le baril, Matador compris.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.contradictions.0" }, { "path": "blastRadius.contradictions.1", "value": "La corrélation avec KMI et WMB est faible (0,32 et 0,26) malgré un lien économique réel via le transport du gaz.", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.contradictions.1" }, { "path": "blastRadius.sourceRefs.0.date", "value": "2026-09-23", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.sourceRefs.0.date" }, { "path": "blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.name", "value": "Matador — 10-K 2025, acheteurs documentés", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.name" }, { "path": "blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.url", "value": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1520006/000152000626000002/mtdr-20251231.htm", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.url" }, { "path": "blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.date", "value": "2026-02-26", "as_of": "2026-09-23", "source_artifact": "analyses/MTDR/_runs/20260924/calculations.json", "source_sha256": "ad85bae3a176b1e5e1b313bc04166e4cd52654fdb759d8eefd52e66eb37c4302", "source_pointer": "/string_numeric_claims/blastRadius.sourceRefs.1.date" } ] }