Monday’s continuation setup

ILLUSTRATIVE PROTOCOL · WAIT FOR THE LIVE BASE

Build the base2 complete 5m bars overlap; consecutive closes > 62.15
B / L / W
Confirm laterS = L − 2 ticks; a later completed close must clear B
CLOSE > B
Set the ceilingP ≤ min[B + 0.25W; (T1 + 1.5S) / 2.5]
1.5R
One IOC / 5mAsk > B and ≤ P; last ≥ B + 1 tick; otherwise reject
TRADE / REJECT

Earliest entry 13:45 GMT / 15:45 PARIS · Later confirmation required

B: base high · L: base low · W = B − L · S = L − 2 ticks · T1 = 63.44 − 1 tick. Reject if stop/T1 touched before entry, return ≤ B, or 5m expire. Protect filled quantity immediately. P rounded down to tick.

HPE: Two Scenarios, Only One Best Signal

ContinuationDay Base Above $62.15; Cap Calculated
Deep Pullback$58.50–$58.90 Touched, Then Reclaim $59.00
Fallback CardMax. $59.15 · Stop $57.80 · T1 $62.10 · T2 $64.20

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

DELL: AI Growth and Index Calendar

September 1 Earnings · S&P 100 Inclusion on the 21st

DELL

FY2027 Q2 Revenue$47.0B

AI Servers$16.4B

AI Server Growth+100 %

DAILYTICKERS · 14–18 SEP 2026 · 06Source: DELL · Release 2026-09-01 · Primary documents in the source hub

Dell is the second intraday priority. Its September first release reported forty-seven billion dollars of fiscal second-quarter revenue, up fifty-eight percent year over year. Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue was thirty-one point eight billion, and AI-optimized

server revenue was sixteen point four billion, up one hundred percent. These are reported revenue figures, distinct from orders, backlog, or full-year guidance. The additional S and P one hundred inclusion creates a separate calendar catalyst.

Together, these facts explain why we prepare the name early. AI server growth is not the same thing as durable free cash flow. Supply, customer concentration, shipment timing, and competitive pricing can change the revenue-to-profit conversion.

Primary sources:
https://investors.delltechnologies.com/news-releases/news-release-details/dell-technologies-delivers-second-quarter-fiscal-2027-financial

DELL: Entry Price Remains the Priority

No Known ObstacleT1 = Entry + 1.5R · T2 = Entry + 3R
Fallback Pullback$535–$540; Reclaim $540.50; Buy ≤ $541.00
Initial ProtectionStop $532.00 · T1 $562.00 · T2 $567.50

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

SMTC: An Optical Catalyst, a Demanding Entry

August 25 Earnings · 224G Products Announced September 8

SMTC

FY2027 Q2 Sales$341.9M

Year-over-Year Growth+33 %

Product Announcement224G

DAILYTICKERS · 14–18 SEP 2026 · 09Source: SMTC · Release 2026-08-25 · Primary documents in the source hub

SMTC: The Deep Reserve Remains Conditional

Zone to Be Touched159–161 $
Reclaim, Then Capped Buy15-Min Close > $161.90 · Buy ≤ $162.00
Fallback CardStop $158.50 · T1 $170.30 · T2 $175.00

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

Last Week Favored Three Themes

Price Change, September 4–11 · %

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026 · One weekly observation does not establish a lasting rotation.

Four Themes. Different Price Paths.

Base 100 · 2026-07-27 → 2026-09-11 · 34 common sessions

Yahoo Finance · Unadjusted closes; dividends excluded

Shared Risk: The Correlation Matrix

Pearson · 60 daily returns · 16 Jun–11 Sep 2026

Yahoo Finance · Raw, unadjusted closes · Historical correlation is not a forecast · US subset: HPE, DELL, NTAP, TSM, SMTC and QQQ.

One AI Value Chain, Several Drivers

Decision Diagram · No Actual Signal Shown

FoundryTSM: Semiconductor Manufacturing
Materials / OpticsSoitec and Semtech: Data Transfer
Systems / DataHPE, Dell and NetApp
ElectricityFortum: Future Contract Visibility

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

Wednesday Concentrates Macro Risk

Upcoming Earnings and Decisions: Content Still Unknown

Day	GMT / Paris	Event
Tue. 15	After U.S. close	Trip.com earnings
Wed. 16	12:30 / 14:30	U.S. retail sales
Wed. 16	18:00 / 20:00 · 18:30 / 20:30	Fed decision / press conference
Wed. 16	After U.S. close	Lennar earnings
Thu. 17	12:30 / 14:30	Housing starts
Fri. 18	13:15 / 15:15	Industrial production

Holding Through the Fed: Decide Before Entry

Do Not Hold

Wednesday: Last U.S. Orders at 19:50

Exit U.S. Positions by 19:55

Europe: Exit at 17:20

Hold Through

Maintain the Planned Horizon

Adjust Exposure and Aggregate Risk

No Choice: No New Position Held Through

Indexes Change on September 21

Index Joined	Names	What to Watch
S&P 500	BE · P (Everpure) · ILMN	Friday: Watch Flows
S&P 100	DELL · PANW · ANET · SNDK	Separate Announcement from Implementation
EURO STOXX 50	ENGIE · NOKIA	Effective at the September 21 Open

Index Announcement ≠ Guaranteed Imbalance

Decision Diagram · No Actual Signal Shown

AnnouncementConstituents Known
Index PortfoliosBuying and Selling by Mandate
Friday CloseNet Imbalance Still Unknown
Our ProtocolU.S. Exit 21:50; Closing Auction Separate

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

Continuation: Freeze the Base Before the Signal

Decision Diagram · No Actual Signal Shown

Two 5-Minute CandlesComplete, Consecutive, Closes > Pivot
OverlapRanges Overlap
Base FrozenB = High; L = Low; W = B − L
Later SignalAnother 5-Minute Candle Closes > B

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

The Cap Protects the Available R-Multiple

Round Down to the Tick · T1 = Resistance − 1 Tick

P ≤ min[B + 0.25W; (T1 + 1.5S) / 2.5]

P < B + 1 Tick ⇒ No Buy Is Possible from This Base.

One IOC Attempt Within Five Minutes

Decision Diagram · No Actual Signal Shown

Confirmed SignalStart a 5-Minute Window
Fresh QuoteB < Ask ≤ P; Last ≥ B + 1 Tick
IOC Limit BuyOne Attempt; Remainder Cancelled
Signal CancellationReturn ≤ B, Stop Hit, or Time Window Expired

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

Pullbacks: Three Fallback Cards

Name	C Reclaim / Max. Buy	Stop	T1 / T2
HPE	59,00 / 59,15 $	57,80 $	62,10 / 64,20 $
SMTC	161,90 / 162,00 $	158,50 $	170,30 / 175,00 $
DELL	540,50 / 541,00 $	532,00 $	562,00 / 567,50 $

R Outcomes Describe Position Management

Exact Theoretical 50/50 Split · Before Fees and Slippage

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026 · Actual Weighting Depends on Quantity and Rounding. No Expected Value Estimated.

Time Is Part of Risk

Rule	U.S. — GMT / Paris	Europe — GMT / Paris
Earliest new entry	13:45 / 15:45	07:15 / 09:15
Normal entry cutoff	18:00 / 20:00	14:00 / 16:00
Mandatory intraday exit	19:50 / 21:50	15:20 / 17:20

Available Capital Remains an Input

Four Simultaneous ConstraintsRisk at Stop · Cash · Per-Position Cap · Correlated Risk
Current State RequiredPositions, Orders, Currencies, and Available Budgets
No Quantity ProposedThe Latest Complete Account State Is Not Validated

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

Five Swing Setups Remain to Be Built

What Is KnownCatalysts and Technical Watch Levels
What Is MissingMaximum Entry · Structural Stop · Targets · Duration
Event DecisionFed Hold YES or NO, Written in Each Card

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

NTAP: Storage and Data Growth

September 2 Release · Priority Swing

NTAP

FY2027 Q1 Revenue$2.025B

Year-over-Year Growth+30 %

All-Flash$1.3B / +47%

DAILYTICKERS · 14–18 SEP 2026 · 28Source: NTAP · Release 2026-09-02 · Primary documents in the source hub

Soitec: Photonics Raises the Outlook

September 2 Guidance · Outlook, Not an Actual Result

SOI.PA

Expected Q2 Revenue Growth≈ +50 %

Previous Outlook> +30 %

MeasurementConstant scope / FX

DAILYTICKERS · 14–18 SEP 2026 · 30Source: SOI.PA · Release 2026-09-02 · Primary documents in the source hub

Fortum: A Long Contract, a Deferred Impact

September 9 Inside Information · Future Economic Impact

FORTUM.HE

PPA with Google22 years

Phased Start2028

Loviisa, 2030–2049Up to 50%

DAILYTICKERS · 14–18 SEP 2026 · 32Source: FORTUM.HE · Release 2026-09-09 · Primary documents in the source hub

The PPA: Separate Announcement from Delivery

Decision Diagram · No Actual Signal Shown

2026Contract Announced September 9
2028Start at Reduced Capacity
2030–2049Up to 50% of Loviisa
Over TimeEstimated RONA: Conditional Impact

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

TSM: A Monthly Demand Data Point

September 10 Monthly Report · Amounts in New Taiwan Dollars

TSM

August RevenueNT$514.81B

Year-over-Year Change+53.3%

Month-over-Month Change+10.1%

DAILYTICKERS · 14–18 SEP 2026 · 35Source: TSM · Release 2026-09-10 · Primary documents in the source hub

Neste: Extend the Margin Improvement

July 24 Earnings · Do Not Annualize the Quarter

NESTE.HE

Comparable Q2 EBITDA€1,203M

Renewable Products Margin$1,223/t

Q2 ContextExceptional Market

DAILYTICKERS · 14–18 SEP 2026 · 37Source: NESTE.HE · Release 2026-07-24 · Primary documents in the source hub

Fortum and Neste: Two Different Economics

Fortum

Nuclear Electricity

PPA Starting in 2028

Visibility, Investment, Generation

Neste

Renewable Fuels

Q2 Realized Margins

Feedstocks, Regulation, Capacity

Reserves Can Move Ahead

Reserve	Promotion Condition
MTDR	Local Reclaim + Energy Relative Strength
IREN · NEO · IESC	Better-Placed Aggressive Structure
PRY.MI · RWE.DE	Clear Intraday: Equipment / Utilities
PACS · NTRA	Breakout from Consolidation, Clear Invalidation

New Catalysts Feed the Radar

Reserve	What Must Be Observed
GPI · PVH	Insider Buying + Price Improvement
SAIC	Better Entry; Caution on Orders
73 dossiers	Earnings, Analysts, Insiders, and Structures

Monday: Move from Research to Decision

Decision Diagram · No Actual Signal Shown

RefreshNews, Gaps, Prices, and Tick Size
ObserveDay Bases and Relative Strength
CompleteSwing Cards and Fed Hold Choice
SizeAccount State, Then Minimum Constraint

Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

The Week's Roadmap

Day	Decisive Work
Monday 14	News, Bases, and Swing Cards
Tuesday 15	Compare Signals; TCOM After Close
Wednesday 16	Retail Sales, Fed; LEN After Close
Thursday 17	Fed Digestion, Housing, LEN Review
Friday 18	Industrial Production and Rebalancing

Live demonstration

Open the Documents Behind the Narrative

Company filings · SEC · Fed · Census · S&P DJI · STOXX

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2026-september.htm

M → Explorer → Open browser

Measure Signals That Are Actually Executable

Status	What to Record
Buy Executed	Time, Average Price, Quantity, and Protection
Cap Too Low	Base Incompatible with the Minimum R-Multiple
Signal Cancelled	Reason and Time Before Submission
IOC Not Executed	One Attempt Without a Purchase
Net Result	Fees, Slippage, and Horizon Compliance

The Best Available Entry Takes Priority

Refresh → Observe → Validate → Size → Execute

· https://articles.dailytickers.com/weekly/20260914/

DAILYTICKERS · 14–18 SEP 2026 · 46Source: Prepared September 13 · Reference prices: September 11, 2026

HPE: Two Scenarios, Only One Best Signal

DELL: Entry Price Remains the Priority

SMTC: The Deep Reserve Remains Conditional

Last Week Favored Three Themes

Four Themes. Different Price Paths.

Shared Risk: The Correlation Matrix

Wednesday Concentrates Macro Risk

Holding Through the Fed: Decide Before Entry

Do Not Hold

Hold Through

Indexes Change on September 21

The Cap Protects the Available R-Multiple

Pullbacks: Three Fallback Cards

R Outcomes Describe Position Management

Time Is Part of Risk

Available Capital Remains an Input

Five Swing Setups Remain to Be Built

Fortum and Neste: Two Different Economics

Fortum

Neste

Reserves Can Move Ahead

New Catalysts Feed the Radar

The Week's Roadmap

Open the Documents Behind the Narrative

Measure Signals That Are Actually Executable

The Best Available Entry Takes Priority

Refresh → Observe → Validate → Size → Execute

Explore the review