Top 10 A+ RISK-ON — GOOGL, AMZN, LLY, GE, AVGO, ASML, NVO, TSM, VGK, IBB
Regime score 0.85 — classified RISK-ON. However, ensemble model confidence has weakened to 48.4% (from 50.6% last scan). 5-day transition: risk_on 42.8%, early_risk_off 31.7%, neutral 14.5%, crisis 11.0%. Two regime flips in last 5 scanner days (RISK-ON → EARLY R-OFF → RISK-ON) trigger the regime-rotation-penalty: position size ×0.7, stops ×1.5 ATR. Strategy weights adjusted for weakening RISK-ON: Momentum 40% (4 setups), Pullback 30% (3 setups), Breakout 20% (2 setups), Pre-Squeeze 10% (1 setup). VIX sub-20 and NASDAQ leadership support the regime, but PCE on Friday could catalyze a flip if hot.
Session strategy: Four themes define this week: (1) AI Infrastructure — GOOGL, AVGO, ASML, TSM capture the multi-year capex cycle with clean technicals; (2) GLP-1 Healthcare — LLY + NVO as the obesity/diabetes duopoly with divergent entry styles (LLY momentum, NVO value pullback); (3) Cyclical Breakout — GE Aerospace on commercial aviation supercycle with confirmed MACD crossover; (4) Diversification Anchors — VGK (EU breadth), IBB (biotech Pre-Squeeze compression). Regime-rotation-penalty active: size down 30%, favor wider stops.
Regime score 0.85 — classified RISK-ON. However, ensemble model confidence has weakened to 48.4% (from 50.6% last scan). 5-day transition: risk_on 42.8%, early_risk_off 31.7%, neutral 14.5%, crisis 11.0%. Two regime flips in last 5 scanner days (RISK-ON → EARLY R-OFF → RISK-ON) trigger the regime-rotation-penalty: position size ×0.7, stops ×1.5 ATR. Strategy weights adjusted for weakening RISK-ON: Momentum 40% (4 setups), Pullback 30% (3 setups), Breakout 20% (2 setups), Pre-Squeeze 10% (1 setup). VIX sub-20 and NASDAQ leadership support the regime, but PCE on Friday could catalyze a flip if hot.
| Index / Asset | Price | Change | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 5,802 | +0.67% | Above 50 & 200 DMA ✅ |
| Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) | ~$522 | +1.19% | Tech leadership ✅ |
| Russell 2000 (IWM) | ~$234 | +1.79% | Small-cap strength ✅ |
| VIX | <20 | Sub-20 | RISK-ON confirmed 🟢 |
| WTI Crude Oil | ~$61 | -3.0% | Iran deescalation ✅ |
| Gold (GLD) | ~$3,350 | Stable | Safe-haven neutral |
| 10Y Treasury | 4.46% | Declining | Rate relief ✅ |
| DXY | ~99.0 | Weak | Multinational tailwind ✅ |
| DAX | 24,100 | -0.80% | EU lagging ⚠ |
This scan rotates 100% fresh — zero tickers carried from last week’s scan. That’s unusual, and intentional. The previous scan was heavily tilted toward post-earnings momentum plays (SPOT, ROST, EL) and Asian/EU pullbacks (BABA, AZN, RYAAY) that have either run to target or lost their entry window. Rather than force stale setups into a new week, we rebuilt from scratch using fresh MCP screener data and a different macro lens: AI infra mega-caps + GLP-1 healthcare + cyclical breakouts. The anti-doublon rule (max 3 repeats) exists precisely to force this kind of renewal — it ensures each scan reflects current market structure, not last week’s momentum.
| Date | Event | Impact | Direction Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue May 27 | Markets Reopen (Memorial Day Monday) | HIGH | Post-holiday liquidity thinner |
| Tue May 27 | Consumer Confidence (Conference Board) | Medium | Consumer sentiment read |
| Tue May 27 | CRM / MRVL Earnings AMC | HIGH | AI enterprise + semi bellwethers |
| Wed May 28 | FOMC Minutes (May meeting) | HIGH | Rate path guidance |
| Wed May 28 | DELL Earnings AMC | Medium | AI server demand read |
| Thu May 29 | GDP Q1 (2nd revision) | Medium | Growth trajectory |
| Thu May 29 | Weekly Jobless Claims | Low-Med | Labor market health |
| Fri May 30 | PCE Price Index (April) | HIGH | Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — regime-flip risk if hot |
| Fri May 30 | Personal Income & Spending | Medium | Consumer spending momentum |
| Sector (ETF) | Week Performance | Regime Signal | Our Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technology (XLK) | +1.5% | Leading — AI capex cycle | GOOGL #1, AVGO #5, ASML #6, TSM #8 |
| Healthcare (XLV) | +0.8% | Moderate — GLP-1 leadership | LLY #3, NVO #7, IBB #10 |
| Industrials (XLI) | +1.2% | Strong — aviation supercycle | GE #4 |
| Consumer Disc. (XLY) | +0.5% | Moderate — e-commerce strength | AMZN #2 |
| Financials (XLF) | -0.3% | Weak — rate uncertainty | No direct (VGK contains financials) |
| Energy (XLE) | -3.0% | Lagging — oil weakness | Excluded |
| Utilities (XLU) | flat | Neutral — defensive rotation muted | Excluded (RISK-ON) |
| Comm Services (XLC) | +1.0% | Moderate — GOOGL leadership | GOOGL #1 |
The week’s macro thesis rests on two pillars: (1) AI Infrastructure Dominance — NASDAQ leading (+1.19%), tech sector posting the best relative performance, and CRM/MRVL earnings Tuesday night will validate the enterprise AI + semiconductor demand cycle. GOOGL, AVGO, ASML, and TSM are the four corners of AI infra with active BUY signals and bullish options flow. (2) PCE as Regime Arbiter — Friday’s PCE is the week’s pivotal event. Core PCE at or below 2.6% keeps RISK-ON alive and supports the rate-cut narrative. Above 2.8% would likely flip the regime to EARLY RISK-OFF, triggering the strategy pivot we’ve pre-positioned for with wider stops and the regime-rotation-penalty. The portfolio is built to survive that flip: LLY, NVO, and IBB are healthcare defensives, VGK provides geographic diversification, and 30% size reduction limits downside exposure.
Alphabet is the highest-quality AI/Cloud play for this week. BUY signal triggered May 13 at $389.59 remains active with the stock consolidating in a tight $383–$393 range. Bullish call flow is concentrated at the 385–392.5 strikes with 9–12× average volume. Above all major EMAs: EMA20 $381, EMA50 $356, EMA200 $300. The stock is approaching its 52-week high of $408.61 with MACD positive and RSI at 61 — bullish-not-overbought. Weak DXY (~99) is a tailwind for ~55% international revenue. Google Cloud grew 35% in Q1 and Gemini AI adoption is accelerating across enterprise.
Amazon triggered a fresh BUY signal May 21 at $266.21 with the strongest options confirmation in the scan: the $265 call strike saw 32× average volume — an unmistakable institutional bid. Above all EMAs: EMA20 $263, EMA50 $250, EMA200 $231. The stock is 5% from its 52-week high of $278.56. AWS cloud growth re-accelerated in Q1, e-commerce margins expanded, and the Alexa+ AI subscription is driving new ARPU. The weak dollar is a tailwind for international retail segments.
Eli Lilly is the dominant GLP-1 franchise with Mounjaro (tirzepatide) for diabetes and Zepbound for obesity generating combined revenue growth of 50%+ YoY. BUY signal triggered April 30 at $902, the stock is now +18% from that entry — strong momentum with MACD bullish (30.8 > 21.8 signal). RSI at 68.6 is approaching warm territory but below the 72 overextension ceiling. Pullback entry near $1,060 allows participation in the ongoing trend with a 1:1.56 R/R below the 52-week high of $1,133.95. Healthcare provides defensive beta if the regime weakens.
GE Aerospace posted a +3.85% breakout Friday above the EMA20/EMA50 cluster ($296–$298), confirming the MACD bullish crossover (1.83 > -0.53 signal). BUY signal May 20 at $290.49 is now +8.3%. The LEAP engine backlog is at record levels driven by Boeing 737 MAX deliveries resuming and Airbus A320neo capacity expansion. GE Aerospace is the pure-play on the commercial aviation supercycle, with high-margin aftermarket services providing earnings visibility. The stop at $300 sits below the EMA20/EMA50 cluster.
Broadcom is the AI networking and custom silicon powerhouse. The SELL signal from May 12 is overridden by massive bullish options flow: 10+ volume spikes across the 422.5–445 strike range, with call multipliers reaching 33× at the $437.5 strike. Above all EMAs: EMA50 $391, EMA200 $342. The VMware integration is driving margin expansion, and custom AI accelerators for Google (TPU), Meta, and ByteDance provide a revenue stream that parallels NVIDIA’s but in the custom silicon market. Near 52-week high $442.36.
ASML is the sole supplier of EUV lithography systems — every advanced chip fab on earth requires ASML equipment. BUY signal triggered May 21 at $1,557, now +4.9%. The stock is approaching its 52-week high of $1,653.53 with a bullish call spike at the $1,700 strike. MACD is bullish (43.1 > 34.3 signal) and RSI at 62 has ample room. The AI capex cycle is ASML’s secular tailwind: TSMC, Samsung, and Intel are all expanding foundry capacity simultaneously. Weak DXY supports the EUR-denominated ADR pricing.
Novo Nordisk is the GLP-1 pioneer (Wegovy/Ozempic) trading at a deep value of forward PE 13.1 — the cheapest among global pharma mega-caps. BUY signal triggered May 20 at $44.82 with the stock pulling back to the EMA50 ($43) support area. RSI at 53.6 is neutral with significant upside room. The 4.01% dividend yield provides income while waiting. The pullback from the 52-week high of $81.44 has been extreme (-46%), but the GLP-1 franchise is intact with CagriSema Phase 3 data expected H2 2026. Bullish call at $44.5 strike confirms near-term institutional interest.
TSMC is the world’s most critical semiconductor company, manufacturing chips for Apple, NVIDIA, AMD, and every major AI accelerator. BUY signal from April 22 at $373.40 is now +10.4%. The stock is approaching its 52-week high of $421.97 with bullish call spikes at 417.5 and 447.5 strikes. N3 process leadership and N2 ramp in H2 2026 ensure multi-year revenue visibility. SELL signal May 11 is countertrend and offset by the BUY from April that has run +10%. CoWoS advanced packaging capacity expansion for AI GPUs is the near-term demand driver.
VGK is the EU diversification anchor for this scan, capturing the broad European equity recovery through a single ETF. BUY signal May 21 at $88.45 is active. Near 52-week high of $90.75. Top holdings include SAP, ASML, Nestlé, LVMH, and Siemens — a quality mix of tech, consumer staples, and industrials. EUR/USD strength (weak DXY ~99) is a structural tailwind. Despite Friday’s DAX weakness (-0.80%), the medium-term trend is intact above all EMAs. Sharia = false due to significant financials content (banks, insurance).
IBB is a textbook Pre-Squeeze setup: EMA20 ($169.1) and EMA50 ($169.6) are converging at the current price, Bollinger Band width is contracting, and RSI sits at a perfectly neutral 50.2. This compression pattern historically resolves with a directional move of 5–8% within 10–15 days. BUY signal from May 4 at $169.28 is holding. Top holdings include Amgen, Gilead, Regeneron, and Vertex — all profitable large-cap biotechs with late-stage pipeline catalysts. Healthcare provides defensive portfolio beta if the regime weakens. The 52-week high of $179.64 provides a realistic TP1 target.
| # | Ticker | Name | Region | Strategy | Score | Entry | Stop | TP1 | R/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. | US | Momentum | 91 | $385 | $373 | $411 | 1:1.53 |
| 2 | AMZN | Amazon.com Inc. | US | Momentum | 90 | $262 | $255 | $280 | 1:1.50 |
| 3 | LLY | Eli Lilly and Company | US | Pullback | 90 | $1050 | $1015 | $1130 | 1:1.56 |
| 4 | GE | GE Aerospace | US | Breakout | 89 | $310 | $300 | $335 | 1:1.50 |
| 5 | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | US | Momentum | 91 | $418 | $398 | $458 | 1:1.50 |
| 6 | ASML | ASML Holding N.V. | EU | Breakout | 90 | $1610 | $1535 | $1775 | 1:1.53 |
| 7 | NVO | Novo Nordisk A/S | EU | Pullback | 89 | $43 | $42 | $47 | 1:1.50 |
| 8 | TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. | Asia | Momentum | 90 | $408 | $391 | $444 | 1:1.52 |
| 9 | VGK | Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF | ETF | Pullback | 89 | $88.5 | $86.75 | $93.75 | 1:1.55 |
| 10 | IBB | iShares Biotechnology ETF | ETF | Pre-Squeeze | 88 | $168 | $164 | $178 | 1:1.55 |
| Region | Tickers | Count | Strategies |
|---|---|---|---|
| US | GOOGL, AMZN, LLY, GE, AVGO | 5 | Momentum x3, Pullback x1, Breakout x1 |
| EU | ASML, NVO | 2 | Breakout x1, Pullback x1 |
| Asia | TSM | 1 | Momentum x1 |
| ETF | VGK, IBB | 2 | Pullback x1, Pre-Squeeze x1 |
| Total | 10 setups | 10 | — |
| Theme | Tickers | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| AI Infrastructure Cycle | GOOGL, AVGO, ASML, TSM | Four corners of AI infra: cloud (GOOGL), networking/custom silicon (AVGO), EUV lithography (ASML), foundry (TSM) |
| GLP-1 Healthcare Duopoly | LLY, NVO | Obesity/diabetes dominance: LLY momentum (+18% from BUY), NVO deep value (fwd PE 13.1) |
| Cyclical Breakout | GE | Commercial aviation supercycle: LEAP engine record backlog, +3.85% breakout Friday |
| Diversification Anchors | VGK, IBB | EU breadth (VGK) + biotech Pre-Squeeze (IBB) reduce portfolio correlation |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Win Rate (3m) | 65.0% |
| Avg Win | +8.5% |
| Avg Loss | -4.2% |
| Profit Factor | 2.41 |
| Sharpe (3m) | 1.8 |
| Max Drawdown (3m) | -6.3% |
| R² | 0.72 |
Entry zones are ranges — enter at the open (9:30–9:45 ET) if price falls within range. For EU setups, enter at the London open or early US session ADR price. Stop losses are hard exits, not mental stops. TP1 is the primary profit target: take 50% off at TP1, move stop to breakeven, trail the remainder to TP2. R/R ratios assume entry at the midpoint of the range. Horizon is the expected time to TP1 — if TP1 is not hit within 2× the horizon, reassess.
We compute a composite regime score from 6 components: VIX (sub-20 = 0 = bullish), SPX breadth (above 50/200 DMA), Credit (HYG spread normalization), DXY (weak dollar = bullish for multinationals), Liquidity (Fed balance sheet trend), and TLT (bond market signal). Score range 0–1: 0–0.30 = RISK-ON, 0.30–0.50 = NEUTRAL/Early Risk-Off, 0.50–0.70 = RISK-OFF, >0.70 = DEEP RISK-OFF. The VIX close behavior is the primary confirmation signal.
We run 3 complementary DSL screens: (a) Momentum Expansion: close>sma(close,20) && vol>sma(vol,20)*1.5 && rsi14>50 && rsi14<75, (b) Breakout Squeeze: close>sma(close,50) && atr(14)>atr(28)*1.2, (c) Pullback-to-Support: rsi14<45 && close>sma(close,200) && close<sma(close,50)*1.05. Screened universe: US mega-caps, EU/ADR large-caps, Asian ADRs, and sector ETFs. Short Squeeze is excluded from all screens per protocol established March 20, 2026.
Each setup receives a score 0–100 based on: Technical (40%) — RSI position, MACD signal, SMA alignment, volume vs average; Momentum (30%) — 1-week, 1-month, 3-month price performance; Confluence (20%) — number of independent signals aligned (min 3 required for A+); Catalyst (10%) — identifiable near-term catalyst (earnings, sector rotation, macro event). Only setups scoring ≥85 qualify as A+.
All selected tickers are vetted for dilution risk: no S-3 shelf registrations, ATM programs, PIPE structures, or aggressive underwriter relationships. Short Squeeze permanently excluded. Open-position exclusions applied per current portfolio state.
Final ranking prioritizes: (1) earnings catalyst recency/quality, (2) geopolitical/macro thematic alignment, (3) momentum quality, (4) diversification requirements (min 5 US, 2 EU, 1 Asia, 2 ETF). R/R minimum of 1:1.5 enforced for all setups. Sharia compliance tagged on every setup.
This scanner is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
All setups carry risk. Past performance of the DailyTickers scanner does not guarantee future results. Entry zones, stops, and targets are estimates based on technical analysis and are not guarantees of execution. Market conditions can change rapidly.
Contextual Risk Warning (Wednesday, May 27, 2026): Regime-rotation-penalty is active (2 changes in 5 scanner days). All position sizes reduced 30% from normal. PCE on Friday May 30 is the critical regime catalyst — hot data (core >2.8%) could flip to EARLY RISK-OFF. Monitor VIX and 10Y yields as leading indicators. This scan has 0 repeats from 20260526 — entirely fresh positioning.
DailyTickers is not a registered investment advisor. All content is provided “as is” without warranty of any kind. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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