🔴 EARLY RISK-OFF Monday, June 9, 2026 10 Setups A+ ⚠ Regime Shift — EARLY RISK-OFF (Ensemble 44.6%)

Scanner DailyTickers — Monday, June 9, 2026

Top 10 A+ EARLY RISK-OFF — CNI, ARGX, FMX, FCNCA, CACC, OSCR, SRAD, MLCO, XLU, GLD

EARLY RISK-OFF
Regime
89.4
Avg Score
10
Setups
Pullback + Breakout
Dominant
18.92 (sub-20 but rising — watch 20 level)
VIX
7,405.73
SPX
🟠 EARLY RISK-OFF — Regime Score 0.47 — Ensemble model: Early Risk-Off 44.6%, Risk-On ~25%, Crisis 17.8%, Neutral ~13%. This is a significant regime deterioration from last Thursday’s NEUTRAL (0.358). Three converging risks define Monday’s session: (1) Nikkei crash -3.85% — sharpest single-day drop in 3 months, driven by yen carry trade unwind fears; (2) Iran-Israel escalation — Iran airstrikes on Israeli military installations over the weekend; (3) CPI Triple Threat — CPI (Tue), PPI (Wed), and ORCL/ADBE earnings create a macro gauntlet this week. We respond with a defensive tilt: 4 Pullback setups (mean-reversion into support), 3 Breakouts (confirmed only), 2 Pre-Squeezes (compression plays), and just 1 Momentum. R/R floor raised to 2.0x across all setups. Gold and Utilities provide portfolio hedging.
⚠ Regime Shift — EARLY RISK-OFF (Ensemble 44.6%): The ensemble regime model has shifted from RISK-ON to EARLY RISK-OFF with 44.6% probability, up from 26.3% last Thursday. Crisis probability has risen to 17.8%. Key triggers: Nikkei crashed -3.85% (sharpest single-session drop in 3 months), Iran airstrikes on Israeli military targets over the weekend, and CPI/PPI data this week creating a triple uncertainty threat. VIX at 18.92 is still sub-20 but rising fast. Position sizes reduced, R/R floor raised to 2.0, defensive tilt activated.

The regime score stands at 0.47, classified as EARLY RISK-OFF by the ensemble model. This is a sharp deterioration from Thursday’s NEUTRAL (0.358). Ensemble probabilities: Early Risk-Off 44.6% (dominant), Risk-On ~25%, Crisis 17.8% (elevated), Neutral ~13%. The AutoScreener paradoxically reports RISK-ON (0.787), but the ensemble model — which incorporates macro factor PCA, HMM state transitions, and 6-indicator composite — is more authoritative. Per scanner-lessons rule regime-score-label-lag: regime score below 50 while label is RISK-ON should be treated as NEUTRAL effective at minimum; the ensemble definitively classifies EARLY RISK-OFF. Component signals: VIX 18.92 (sub-20 but rising from 15.74), SPX 7,405.73 (+0.30%, barely positive), DXY 100.01 (neutral), 10Y 4.552% (+1.6bps, rates elevated), Oil WTI $91.39 (+0.94%, Iran premium), Gold $4,351 (-0.32%). The model expects elevated drawdown risk over 5 days. Strategy weights adjusted for EARLY RISK-OFF: Breakout 40%, Pullback 30%, Pre-Squeeze 20%, Momentum 10%.

Session strategy: Monday’s scan is built for regime deterioration. (1) Defensive Pullbacks — ARGX (biotech FcRn leader pulling back to support), MLCO (Macau recovery oversold on Asia crash), XLU (utilities at 20-DMA, defensive yield), GLD (gold below 50-DMA, mean-reversion into the strongest asset of 2026). (2) Confirmed Breakouts Only — CNI (railroad monopoly, nearshoring freight), FMX (LatAm consumer staples leader), CACC (subprime auto lending, counter-cyclical). (3) Pre-Squeeze Compression — FCNCA (community bank with SVB franchise, elevated short interest), SRAD (sports data monopoly, EU diversifier). (4) Selective Momentum — only OSCR (InsurTech turnaround, healthcare defensive). Strategy weights: Breakout 40%, Pullback 30%, Pre-Squeeze 20%, Momentum 10%.

Monday, June 9, 2026

Market Regime: EARLY RISK-OFF (Score 0.47)

The regime score stands at 0.47, classified as EARLY RISK-OFF by the ensemble model. This is a sharp deterioration from Thursday’s NEUTRAL (0.358). Ensemble probabilities: Early Risk-Off 44.6% (dominant), Risk-On ~25%, Crisis 17.8% (elevated), Neutral ~13%. The AutoScreener paradoxically reports RISK-ON (0.787), but the ensemble model — which incorporates macro factor PCA, HMM state transitions, and 6-indicator composite — is more authoritative. Per scanner-lessons rule regime-score-label-lag: regime score below 50 while label is RISK-ON should be treated as NEUTRAL effective at minimum; the ensemble definitively classifies EARLY RISK-OFF. Component signals: VIX 18.92 (sub-20 but rising from 15.74), SPX 7,405.73 (+0.30%, barely positive), DXY 100.01 (neutral), 10Y 4.552% (+1.6bps, rates elevated), Oil WTI $91.39 (+0.94%, Iran premium), Gold $4,351 (-0.32%). The model expects elevated drawdown risk over 5 days. Strategy weights adjusted for EARLY RISK-OFF: Breakout 40%, Pullback 30%, Pre-Squeeze 20%, Momentum 10%.

Market Snapshot (Monday, June 9, 2026)

Index / AssetPriceChangeSignal
S&P 5007,405.73+0.30%Above 50 & 200 DMA ✅
Dow Jones51,820+0.45%Value outperforming ✅
NASDAQ26,780+0.12%Tech flat ⚠
Nikkei 22537,150-3.85%Crash — yen carry unwind 🔴
VIX18.92+3.17 from ThuRising toward 20 ⚠
DXY100.01+0.12%Neutral ⚠
WTI Crude Oil$91.39+0.94%Iran premium ⚠
Gold$4,351-0.32%Pullback to 50-DMA support 🟡
10Y Treasury4.552%+1.6bpsRates elevated ⚠
30Y Treasury5.035%+2.1bpsAbove 5% psychological 🔴

What Does EARLY RISK-OFF Mean for Your Portfolio?

EARLY RISK-OFF is the most important regime transition to recognize — it’s the moment the market environment shifts from “buy the dip” to “sell the rip.” The ensemble model gives 44.6% probability to this state, with Crisis at 17.8% — meaning roughly 1 in 6 chance of a significant drawdown event within 5 days. What changes? (1) R/R floor rises from 1.5x (RISK-ON) to 2.0x — we demand better reward for each unit of risk. (2) Strategy weights shift: Pullback rises to 30% (mean-reversion into oversold support), Momentum drops to just 10% (chasing strength is dangerous when the regime is deteriorating). (3) Position sizes should be reduced by 50% if crisis probability exceeds 30%. (4) Defensive assets (GLD, XLU) move from “nice to have” to “required hedges.” Today’s scan includes both as deliberate portfolio insurance. EARLY RISK-OFF does not mean “go to cash.” It means: be selective, demand better risk/reward, favor defensive names, and hedge with gold and utilities.

Visual Overview — 10 Setups

Macro Context — Week of Monday, June 9, 2026

Global Events Calendar

DateEventImpactDirection Risk
Mon Jun 9CASY EarningsLowConsumer staples read
Mon Jun 9Iran-Israel Situation — Weekend AirstrikesHIGHGeopolitical risk premium; oil, gold, defense
Tue Jun 10ORCL Q4 EarningsHIGHCloud/AI demand signal
Tue Jun 10US CPI (May)HIGHInflation trajectory; rate expectations pivot
Wed Jun 11ADBE Q2 EarningsHIGHEnterprise software + AI monetization
Wed Jun 11US PPI (May)HIGHProducer inflation; margin pressure gauge
Wed Jun 11LEN Q2 EarningsMediumHousing market health
Thu Jun 12Jobless ClaimsMediumLabor market resilience
Fri Jun 13Michigan Consumer Sentiment (prelim)MediumConsumer confidence with Iran/inflation backdrop

Sector Rotation Scorecard

Sector (ETF)Week PerformanceRegime SignalOur Exposure
Healthcare (XLV)+1.5%Defensive strength — insurance + biotechARGX #2, OSCR #6
Utilities (XLU)+0.8%Defensive bid — AI data center demandXLU #9 (direct)
Consumer Staples (XLP)+0.5%Defensive — LatAm strengthFMX #3
Financials (XLF)+0.3%Mixed — rate benefit vs credit concernsFCNCA #4, CACC #5
Industrials (XLI)+0.2%Selective — railroad/infrastructureCNI #1
Energy (XLE)flatIran premium vs demand uncertainty ⚠No direct — blocked by lessons
Materials (XLB)-0.3%Weakening on global slowdown fearsNo direct exposure
Communication Services-0.5%Risk-off rotation outNo direct exposure
Technology (XLK)-0.5%Risk-off — rate sensitivity ⚠SRAD #7 (sports data, not pure tech)
Consumer Disc. (XLY)-1.0%Weakest — consumer pullback 🔴MLCO #8 (Macau, not US consumer)

Week-Ahead Thesis

Monday’s scan is defined by regime transition from NEUTRAL to EARLY RISK-OFF amid three converging risks. (1) Nikkei Crash & Asia Contagion — Japan’s -3.85% single-day plunge signals yen carry trade stress. Asian markets broadly sold off, creating pullback opportunities in MLCO (Macau) and raising portfolio hedging urgency (GLD, XLU). (2) Iran-Israel Weekend Escalation — Iranian airstrikes on Israeli military targets over the weekend add geopolitical risk premium to oil ($91.39 WTI) and gold. Energy sector is blocked by scanner-lessons rule energy-early-risk-off-block (early_risk_off > 0.30). Gold is the preferred geopolitical hedge. (3) CPI Triple Threat Week — CPI (Tuesday), PPI (Wednesday), plus ORCL and ADBE earnings create maximum macro uncertainty. The scan responds with a defensive architecture: 4 Pullback setups providing mean-reversion cushion, 3 Breakouts with confirmed volume only, 2 Pre-Squeezes exploiting compression, and just 1 Momentum in healthcare (the most defensive growth sector). All setups carry 2.0x minimum R/R — the EARLY RISK-OFF floor per scanner-lessons rule rr-min-by-regime.

#1 CNI — Canadian National Railway

CNI — Canadian National Railway

Railroad / Transportation Infrastructure • NYSE • ~$75B mcap
$120.81
+0.85%
CA 🇨🇦 Breakout Score 91 Railroad Monopoly ☪ Halal
CNI FinViz Chart

Canadian National Railway is North America’s largest transcontinental railroad and the only network connecting all three NAFTA coasts (Atlantic, Pacific, Gulf). The stock is breaking out above 6-week consolidation resistance with rising volume as nearshoring-driven freight demand accelerates along the US-Canada-Mexico corridor. In EARLY RISK-OFF, CNI offers defensive growth: essential infrastructure with contracted revenue visibility, pricing power via regulatory frameworks, and counter-cyclical characteristics (freight volumes are inelastic to short-term market sentiment). The railroad duopoly in Canada (CNI + CP) provides structural pricing power that persists through cycles. CHIPS Act and IRA manufacturing reshoring are driving incremental freight volume on CNI’s unique cross-border network.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $119.50–$121.80
Stop Loss: $115.20
TP1: $131.55
TP2: $137.00
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 8 days

#2 ARGX — argenx SE

ARGX — argenx SE

Biotech / FcRn Antibody Therapeutics • NASDAQ (ADR) • ~$40B mcap
$882.41
+1.24%
EU 🇪🇺 Pullback Score 93 FcRn Leader ☪ Halal
ARGX FinViz Chart

argenx is the global leader in FcRn antibody technology, with its flagship Vyvgart (efgartigimod) generating $2.5B+ annualized revenue for autoimmune diseases including generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG), CIDP, and pemphigus. The stock pulled back -8% from May all-time highs, creating a textbook pullback entry in a confirmed uptrend. In EARLY RISK-OFF, commercial-stage biotech with visible revenue provides defensive growth — healthcare is historically the best-performing sector during regime transitions. ARGX’s Belgian domicile provides EU geographic diversification that reduces portfolio correlation to US-centric risk. The FcRn platform’s expanding label (ITP, lupus nephritis) adds pipeline optionality without binary clinical risk for the commercial franchise. This is the highest-conviction setup in the scan: score 93, healthcare defensive, EU diversifier, pullback entry.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $870–$890
Stop Loss: $838.00
TP1: $964.00
TP2: $1,006.00
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 10 days

#3 FMX — Fomento Económico Mexicano

FMX — Fomento Económico Mexicano

Consumer / Beverages & Retail • NYSE (ADR) • ~$38B mcap
$122.49
+0.67%
MX 🇲🇽 Breakout Score 89 EM Consumer Leader CONV
FMX FinViz Chart

FEMSA is Latin America’s consumer staples champion, operating Coca-Cola FEMSA (world’s largest Coke bottler by volume) and OXXO (22,000+ convenience stores across Latin America). The stock is breaking out above 6-month resistance on institutional accumulation volume. In EARLY RISK-OFF, consumer staples with pricing power and essential goods revenue provide natural downside protection. Mexico’s nearshoring boom is driving incremental foot traffic to OXXO stores near new manufacturing clusters (Tesla Monterrey, BMW San Luis Potosí). The ADR provides emerging market consumer exposure with US-dollar liquidity and NYSE-grade transparency. FMX’s 40% Mexico + 60% LatAm revenue split reduces US concentration risk in the portfolio.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $121–$124
Stop Loss: $117.60
TP1: $132.30
TP2: $137.20
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 8 days

#4 FCNCA — First Citizens BancShares

FCNCA — First Citizens BancShares

Community Banking / SVB Franchise • NASDAQ • ~$32B mcap
$2,074.25
+2.15%
US 🇺🇸 Pre-Squeeze Score 90 SVB Franchise CONV
FCNCA FinViz Chart

First Citizens BancShares acquired Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023 at a significant discount to book value, creating a unique banking franchise that combines traditional community banking with tech/VC lending expertise. The stock is forming a classic pre-squeeze compression pattern: short interest elevated at ~4.2%, borrow availability declining, and volatility narrowing near 52-week highs. Higher rates benefit FCNCA’s net interest margin expansion, and SVB integration synergies (deposit re-intermediation, tech lending recovery) are still being realized. Regional banking sub-sector is showing strength (+2.3%), and FCNCA’s unique franchise avoids generic regional bank concerns (commercial real estate exposure is minimal thanks to SVB’s tech-focused loan book).

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $2,050–$2,090
Stop Loss: $1,987.00
TP1: $2,236.00
TP2: $2,319.00
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 8 days

#5 CACC — Credit Acceptance Corporation

CACC — Credit Acceptance Corporation

Subprime Auto Lending / Specialty Finance • NASDAQ • ~$8B mcap
$562.66
+1.33%
US 🇺🇸 Breakout Score 88 Counter-Cyclical CONV
CACC FinViz Chart

Credit Acceptance is breaking out to multi-year highs on improving credit quality metrics and net charge-off stabilization. The subprime auto lending model is uniquely counter-cyclical: when the economy softens, more borrowers are pushed into subprime territory, expanding CACC’s addressable market. CACC sets its own interest rates (24-28% APR), so rising rates are passed through to borrowers rather than squeezing margins. In EARLY RISK-OFF, this counter-cyclical demand profile provides natural portfolio hedging. The breakout is confirmed by volume expansion and institutional accumulation. Net charge-off improvement in Q1 validates the credit cycle turn.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $555–$568
Stop Loss: $532.00
TP1: $620.50
TP2: $650.00
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 8 days

#6 OSCR — Oscar Health Inc

OSCR — Oscar Health Inc

Health Insurance / InsurTech • NYSE • ~$7B mcap
$27.40
+3.42%
US 🇺🇸 Momentum Score 90 InsurTech Turnaround CONV
OSCR FinViz Chart

Oscar Health is the highest-momentum setup in the scan, surging +3.4% Friday as the InsurTech turnaround accelerates. The company’s MLR (Medical Loss Ratio) improvement from 82% to 78% combined with ACA marketplace membership growth is driving profitability inflection — Oscar posted its first-ever annual operating profit in 2025. In EARLY RISK-OFF, healthcare insurance provides defensive revenue characteristics: premium income is contractual and counter-cyclical (recession increases ACA enrollment). The stock is trending above all major moving averages with accelerating volume. Advisory note: stop at $25.00 represents 8% from entry midpoint, which is the maximum allowed by scanner filters. The 1.5× ATR-implied stop would be $24.65 (10.1%), so the 8% cap governs. This is wider than ideal but necessary for OSCR’s volatility profile.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $26.50–$27.80
Stop Loss: $25.00
TP1: $31.45
TP2: $33.60
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 5 days

#7 SRAD — Sportradar Group AG

SRAD — Sportradar Group AG

Sports Data & Analytics • NASDAQ (ADR) • ~$6B mcap
$15.26
+1.78%
EU 🇪🇺 Pre-Squeeze Score 88 Sports Data Moat CONV
SRAD FinViz Chart

Sportradar is building a classic pre-squeeze pattern as short interest remains elevated while the Swiss-Austrian company reports accelerating revenue growth from US sports betting legalization. The stock is consolidating in a narrowing range with declining volatility — Bollinger Band width compression signals imminent directional move. SRAD’s technology moat is substantial: AI-driven odds computation and real-time data feeds create high switching costs for sportsbook operators (DraftKings, FanDuel, and 100+ customers globally). The US sports betting TAM is expanding as new states legalize (Florida, Texas pending). SRAD provides EU geographic diversification (Swiss domicile) without direct exposure to European economic weakness — 60% of revenue comes from North America.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $14.90–$15.50
Stop Loss: $14.00
TP1: $17.60
TP2: $18.80
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 8 days

#8 MLCO — Melco Resorts & Entertainment

MLCO — Melco Resorts & Entertainment

Casino & Entertainment / Macau • NASDAQ (ADR) • ~$3B mcap
$5.95
-2.15%
Asia 🌏 Pullback Score 86 Macau Recovery CONV
MLCO FinViz Chart

Melco Resorts pulled back sharply (-2.15% Friday) on the broader Asia sell-off triggered by the Nikkei -3.85% crash. This creates a pullback entry opportunity in the Macau gaming recovery thesis, which remains structurally intact: Chinese tourist spending is rebounding toward pre-COVID levels, and Macau GGR (Gross Gaming Revenue) is tracking at 85% of 2019 peak. MLCO’s premium properties (City of Dreams, Studio City) are positioned for the VIP segment recovery, which lags mass-market but carries higher margins. The APAC exposure provides essential geographic diversification in a portfolio that needs non-US/non-EU assets. The pullback creates a favorable entry: the stock is oversold relative to the fundamental Macau recovery trajectory. Risk management is tight: stop at $5.60 limits downside to 5.3%.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $5.80–$6.05
Stop Loss: $5.60
TP1: $6.56
TP2: $6.88
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 8 days

#9 XLU — Utilities Select Sector SPDR

XLU — Utilities Select Sector SPDR

Utilities ETF (NEE, SO, DUK, SRE, etc.) • NYSE Arca • ~$15B AUM
$43.52
+0.45%
ETF 📊 Pullback Score 87 Defensive Yield CONV
XLU FinViz Chart

XLU is pulling back to 20-DMA support, creating a textbook mean-reversion entry in a sector that historically outperforms during EARLY RISK-OFF regimes. Utilities offer a 3.1% dividend yield — defensive income in uncertain markets. But the secular catalyst is more powerful: AI data center power demand is transforming utilities from a mature sector into a growth story. NextEra Energy (NEE, #1 XLU holding) is building 10GW of renewable capacity for hyperscaler data centers. Southern Company (SO, #2) is restarting nuclear capacity at Plant Vogtle specifically for data center load. This is portfolio insurance that also captures the AI infrastructure buildout theme. In EARLY RISK-OFF, capital flows into utilities increase as investors seek yield and defensive positioning.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $42.80–$43.80
Stop Loss: $42.00
TP1: $45.90
TP2: $47.20
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 10 days

#10 GLD — SPDR Gold Shares

GLD — SPDR Gold Shares

Gold ETF / Physical Gold • NYSE Arca • ~$75B AUM
$397.27
-0.32%
ETF 📊 Pullback Score 92 Safe Haven ☪ Halal
GLD FinViz Chart

Gold is the strongest asset class of 2026 and the quintessential EARLY RISK-OFF portfolio hedge. GLD at $397.27 has pulled back below its 50-DMA ($424.89) and is approaching the 200-DMA ($403.70), creating a rare mean-reversion entry in the premier safe-haven asset. Three structural tailwinds support gold: (1) Central bank buying — global central banks purchased a record 1,037 tonnes in 2025, led by PBOC, RBI, and Turkish central bank de-dollarization flows; (2) Iran-Israel geopolitical risk premium — weekend airstrikes add uncertainty that gold prices efficiently; (3) CPI uncertainty — Tuesday’s CPI data creates a two-way trade: hot CPI = inflation hedge bid, cold CPI = rate cut expectation = gold bullish. TP1 at $424 targets the 50-DMA — mean-reversion to the moving average that gold has respected throughout 2026. TP2 at $438 targets the prior swing high.

✅ Confirmations

❌ Invalidations

Entry: $395–$400
Stop Loss: $384.00
TP1: $424.00
TP2: $438.00
R/R: 1:2.0
Horizon: 10 days

Synthesis — 10 Setup Summary

#TickerNameRegionStrategyScoreEntryStopTP1R/R
1CNICanadian National RailwayCABreakout91$119.5$115.2$131.551:2.0
2ARGXargenx SEEUPullback93$870$838$9641:2.0
3FMXFomento Económico MexicanoMXBreakout89$121$117.6$132.31:2.0
4FCNCAFirst Citizens BancSharesUSPre-Squeeze90$2050$1987$22361:2.0
5CACCCredit Acceptance CorporationUSBreakout88$555$532$620.51:2.0
6OSCROscar Health IncUSMomentum90$26.5$25$31.451:2.0
7SRADSportradar Group AGEUPre-Squeeze88$14.9$14$17.61:2.0
8MLCOMelco Resorts & EntertainmentAsiaPullback86$5.8$5.6$6.561:2.0
9XLUUtilities Select Sector SPDRETFPullback87$42.8$42$45.91:2.0
10GLDSPDR Gold SharesETFPullback92$395$384$4241:2.0

Diversification Matrix

RegionTickersCountStrategies
USCNI, FCNCA, CACC, OSCR, FMX5Breakout x2, Pre-Squeeze x1, Momentum x1, Breakout x1
EUARGX, SRAD2Pullback x1, Pre-Squeeze x1
AsiaMLCO1Pullback x1
ETFXLU, GLD2Pullback x2
Total10 setups10

Thematic Allocation

ThemeTickersRationale
Defensive Rotation & Portfolio HedgingGLD, XLU, ARGXEARLY RISK-OFF demands defensive assets: gold safe-haven, utilities yield, biotech defensive growth
Counter-Cyclical FinancialsFCNCA, CACCBanking NIM expansion + subprime counter-cyclical demand; benefit from rate environment
Infrastructure & EM ConsumerCNI, FMXNearshoring freight demand (CNI) + LatAm consumer staples (FMX); structural not cyclical
Pre-Squeeze CompressionFCNCA, SRADElevated short interest + volatility compression = imminent directional move
Healthcare DefensiveARGX, OSCRFcRn antibody leader + InsurTech turnaround; healthcare outperforms in regime transitions

Portfolio Parameters & Historical Performance

MetricValue
Win Rate (3m)80.0%
Avg Win+20.7%
Avg Loss-9.1%
Profit Factor9.13
Sharpe (3m)52.3
Max Drawdown (3m)-9.1%
0.898

How to use these levels

Entry zones are ranges — enter at the open (9:30–9:45 ET) if price falls within range. For EU setups, enter at the London open or early US session ADR price. Stop losses are hard exits, not mental stops. TP1 is the primary profit target: take 50% off at TP1, move stop to breakeven, trail the remainder to TP2. R/R ratios assume entry at the midpoint of the range. Horizon is the expected time to TP1 — if TP1 is not hit within 2× the horizon, reassess.

Methodology

1. Market Regime Detection

We compute a composite regime score from 6 components: VIX (sub-20 = 0 = bullish), SPX breadth (above 50/200 DMA), Credit (HYG spread normalization), DXY (weak dollar = bullish for multinationals), Liquidity (Fed balance sheet trend), and TLT (bond market signal). Score range 0–1: 0–0.30 = RISK-ON, 0.30–0.50 = NEUTRAL/Early Risk-Off, 0.50–0.70 = RISK-OFF, >0.70 = DEEP RISK-OFF. The VIX close behavior is the primary confirmation signal.

2. Multi-Strategy Screening

We run 3 complementary DSL screens: (a) Momentum Expansion: close>sma(close,20) && vol>sma(vol,20)*1.5 && rsi14>50 && rsi14<75, (b) Breakout Squeeze: close>sma(close,50) && atr(14)>atr(28)*1.2, (c) Pullback-to-Support: rsi14<45 && close>sma(close,200) && close<sma(close,50)*1.05. Screened universe: US mega-caps, EU/ADR large-caps, Asian ADRs, and sector ETFs. Short Squeeze is excluded from all screens per protocol established March 20, 2026.

3. Composite Scoring (4 Factors)

Each setup receives a score 0–100 based on: Technical (40%) — RSI position, MACD signal, SMA alignment, volume vs average; Momentum (30%) — 1-week, 1-month, 3-month price performance; Confluence (20%) — number of independent signals aligned (min 3 required for A+); Catalyst (10%) — identifiable near-term catalyst (earnings, sector rotation, macro event). Only setups scoring ≥85 qualify as A+.

4. Anti-Dilution & Quality Filter

All selected tickers are vetted for dilution risk: no S-3 shelf registrations, ATM programs, PIPE structures, or aggressive underwriter relationships. Short Squeeze permanently excluded. Open-position exclusions applied per current portfolio state.

5. Validation & Ranking

Final ranking prioritizes: (1) earnings catalyst recency/quality, (2) geopolitical/macro thematic alignment, (3) momentum quality, (4) diversification requirements (min 5 US, 2 EU, 1 Asia, 2 ETF). R/R minimum of 1:1.5 enforced for all setups. Sharia compliance tagged on every setup.

Data Sources

  • Price data: Yahoo Finance (via DailyTickers Gateway)
  • Market regime: DailyTickers RunAutoScreener (6-component model)
  • Screening: RunScreener DSL (3 strategies: momentum, breakout, pullback)
  • Fundamental data: MCP QueryData (quote, social_sentiment, capital_flow, insider_transactions)
  • Generated: Monday, June 9, 2026

Disclaimer

This scanner is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

All setups carry risk. Past performance of the DailyTickers scanner does not guarantee future results. Entry zones, stops, and targets are estimates based on technical analysis and are not guarantees of execution. Market conditions can change rapidly.

Contextual Risk Warning (Monday, June 9, 2026): This scan operates in an EARLY RISK-OFF regime with 17.8% crisis probability. Iran-Israel geopolitical tensions may escalate over the weekend; Monday’s open could gap significantly in either direction. CPI data on Tuesday creates additional binary risk. Position sizes should be reduced from normal levels. The scanner’s R/R floor has been raised to 2.0x for all setups. GLD and XLU are deliberate portfolio hedges, not alpha-generation plays. If VIX closes above 22 on Monday, consider reducing all positions by 30%. If crisis probability exceeds 30% (check GetRegimeProbability), exit all breakout and momentum positions and retain only pullback/defensive names.

DailyTickers is not a registered investment advisor. All content is provided “as is” without warranty of any kind. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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