Scanner Retrospective — May 29 – June 5, 2026

AVGO hit the full TP2 target — the best setup of the entire period by a wide margin. The AI capex thesis played out perfectly: Broadcom's custom AI accelerator revenue, combined with VMware integration synergies, drove the stock through both target levels. Strong volume confirmation + dark pool accumulation signals provided high-conviction entry. This is the archetype of what Momentum strategy delivers when regime conditions are genuinely supportive (score 85) — a setup that starts in strong conditions and rides a secular trend through to completion. The +12.48% return on a single setup is more than all 11 losses combined would take to offset at average sizing.

AAPL's breakout from May 13 held through the entire regime oscillation of the period — from RISK-ON 85 down to RISK-ON 41 and back up to RISK-ON 87 — without ever hitting its stop. This is the mega-cap quality shield at work: Apple's massive market cap, diversified revenue streams, and institutional holding base create a natural floor that absorbs regime volatility. The breakout strategy with a wide enough stop (not too tight) allowed the position to breathe through the turbulence. Expired at +5.91% on horizon — could have been more with a wider horizon, but capital preservation was the priority in this volatile period.

ARM appears in the Top 3 for the third consecutive retrospective — confirming that the AI semiconductor breakout thesis has persistent structural momentum. Entered during a volatile RISK-ON 38 regime on May 22, the trailing stop quickly captured +4.22% as the stock moved through its breakout zone. The trailing mechanism correctly locked profit before the Jun 1-3 regime degradation could erode gains. ARM's IP royalties + AI accelerator revenue model creates a fundamental floor that technical stops can't easily break. The consistency of ARM's appearances across retrospectives makes it a candidate for extended horizon tracking in future scans.

HON is the poster child of the regime-label lag problem. Entered as a Momentum play on Jun 3 when the regime label was still RISK-ON but the score was 41 — deep in NEUTRAL/EARLY RISK-OFF territory. The stock hit its maximum stop loss on the same day of entry. A Momentum signal on an industrial cyclical at regime score 41 is structurally unsound: cyclicals need genuine RISK-ON conviction (score > 60) to sustain momentum. The 5% same-day loss represents maximum position damage. Actionable rule: block all Momentum signals when regime score < 50, regardless of label. This single rule would have prevented this trade entirely.

Same pattern as HON — Momentum entry at regime score 41, same-day stop at max loss. HUBS as a high-growth SaaS name is particularly sensitive to risk sentiment: when institutional buyers step back (which they do at regime score < 50), high-beta growth stocks lose support immediately. The scanner identified HUBS's technical setup (above EMA20, volume expansion) but failed to weight the macro headwind. Two same-day exits from the same scan is a red flag for stop calibration: either the stops were too tight for the volatility level, or — more likely — the entries should never have been taken. The regime-score gate would have prevented both.

PLTR combines two risk factors: high-beta tech (volatility amplifier) and Momentum strategy in a fading regime (score 47). PLTR's beta of ~2.0x means any market weakness is amplified, making it especially vulnerable when regime confidence is declining. The stop at -4.83% was hit in just 2 days — rapid deterioration consistent with high-beta behavior in adverse conditions. This reinforces the same lesson as HON and HUBS: the regime score, not the label, should gate Momentum entries. PLTR would have been filtered by a score > 50 requirement. Additionally, high-beta names (beta > 1.5) should require an even higher score threshold — perhaps > 60 — to compensate for their amplified downside sensitivity.